calibrated SPORTS
NFLAnalyticsOpportunity residualFit Rushing Yards

One measure, in full · Opportunity residual

How much of rushing yards volume explains

Opportunity residual

Not published
Week-to-week carry-over
1999–2026
Seasons
One league figure
Leader
56
Values in the file

Definition

One definition, the column that binds its range, and what the figure is a share of.

R^2 of rushing yards on carries across one season's player-weeks in one position group; the interval resamples players

opportunity_residual.fit.rushing_yards

Source
pbp; n counts independent players
Bound column
the whole archive, 1999-2026; no input binds it; fit rushing yards ~ carries, OLS per season x position group over player-weeks; R^2 RB median 0.743 (0.684-0.800, 28 seasons); QB median 0.617 (0.434-0.722, 28 seasons); position group is the player's CURRENT nflverse position applied to every season, not as-of; QB kneel-downs (nflverse qb_kneel) are excluded from both sides of the fit - 9457 kneel plays removed (RB 4, QB 9453 by position group)
Columns it reads
pbp.rusher_player_id|rush_attempt, weekly_stats.position
Denominator
Not a share: the figure has no denominator it splits with anyone.
Season range
Current 1999–2026. Current. Its inputs cover 1999 to 2026 and reach the season in progress.
Slices
season|position_group
Refreshed
This file was generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:32 AM ET. It does not state a refresh schedule.

Distribution

No distribution: the file is one figure for the whole league, not a value per player.

Does it carry?

No week-to-week carry-over is published for this measure. Its file holds a value per league with its interval; whether a week above average carries into the next is not in it.

Leaderboard

No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.

What the file does and does not say

Four limits, stated plainly.

  1. Interval from resampling players with replacement, 2,000 times. Built at 95%. That coverage is nominal: this page does not check it against outcomes.
  2. n counts independent players, never rows. A value resting on fewer than 5 players is shown muted in the table and not read: it is left out of the range and the leaders.
  3. It covers 1999 to 2026, and says why in the producer's words: the whole archive, 1999-2026; no input binds it; fit rushing yards ~ carries, OLS per season x position group over player-weeks; R^2 RB median 0.743 (0.684-0.800, 28 seasons); QB median 0.617 (0.434-0.722, 28 seasons); position group is the player's CURRENT nflverse position applied to every season, not as-of; QB kneel-downs (nflverse qb_kneel) are excluded from both sides of the fit - 9457 kneel plays removed (RB 4, QB 9453 by position group).
  4. It is one figure for the whole league, pooled. It does not say what any one player does, and it does not split by position.