calibrated SPORTS
NFLFantasy

NFL · fantasy

Opportunity, then points

Points are the output. Snaps, targets and carries are the input: the share of the offense a player is handed. This board sorts on the input and scores it under your league’s weights, not ours, in your browser, from each game’s components.

How much of each carries over from one sample of a player to the next, opportunity and efficiency, is a measurement.

In 11 of 11 published position-and-stat cells efficiency carried from one season to the next less than the opportunity that bought it. Efficiency's own r had an interval above zero in 11 of 11.

Data through
Week 7
2026 season
Scoring presets
3
each one editable below

Your scoring

Every figure below re-scores as you change it

3 systems weight 11 stat components.

PPR, as published

What sets the presets apart: Rec PPR 1, Half PPR 0.5, Standard 0.

Customise weights ▾
Weights, points per unit · 11 components
Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
Rush Yds
Rush TD
Pass Yds
Pass TD
INT
Fum Lost
2-Pt
Ret TD

A bar is the weight’s size: a full bar is twice what the presets publish for it. Red, and hatched, is a deduction.

Weights, per component, as published
StatPPRHalf PPRStandard
Rec10.50
Rec Yds0.10.10.1
Rec TD666
Rush Yds0.10.10.1
Rush TD666
Pass Yds0.040.040.04
Pass TD444
INT-2-2-2
Fum Lost-2-2-2
2-Pt222
Ret TD666

Scored from the components present, which now include fumbles lost, two-point conversions and return touchdowns. Against nflverse's own fantasy_points_ppr (which includes them) the PPR preset differs by median 0.00 and p99 0.00 points per game over 196,064 player-games.

No preset declares a threshold bonus.

How this is computed

A preset is a set of these numbers and nothing else: picking one changes what the scoring function multiplies, not which function runs. Points are the sum of weight × stat, plus any threshold bonus a single game reaches. A component a preset does not weight scores zero, which is what a zero in this table means.

Tools

Eight ways to use the board. Pick one.

Opportunity

2026
Trend · Tgt %

Loading the 2026 components table…

One scoring function, in the browser, over each week's componentsTrend: the last 6 weeks the table carries; a gap is a week with no rowTgt % bars on a fixed 0–50% scaleCar: a dash where the position does not carry it, outside RB and QB
How this is computed

Every player with a row in the 2026 season, sorted by what you pick. A share is the span’s summed part over the team’s summed total in the games the player has a row for. Points are scored game by game under your weights and then averaged. The order is the sort, and nothing numbers it.

Beyond his volume

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Loading the opportunity residual…

The call record

Opened September 24, 2026

Opens when the board is built from as-of fits; nothing to grade yet, by design. The rule, registered before any call (f-13).