Analytics · Opportunity residual
Opportunity residual
Production beyond what a player's volume explains.
Carry-over, against zero
No week-to-week carry-over is published for this family: its files hold values per player and league-wide figures, each with its interval, and each measure’s page draws them.
The measures
25 measures. Each opens its own page with the definition, the distribution, the full leaderboard and what the file does not say.
This family’s files hold 51,263 values, past the 25,000 this page reads at once, so the cards carry no leaderboard: each measure’s page reads its own file.
Band edges for production beyond opportunity per game: receiving TDs
the named quantile (q10 = tenth centile) of the PER-GAME receiving TDs residual (opportunity_residual.per_game) across the player-seasons published for that season and group · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureBand edges for production beyond opportunity per game: receiving yards
the named quantile (q10 = tenth centile) of the PER-GAME receiving yards residual (opportunity_residual.per_game) across the player-seasons published for that season and group · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureBand edges for production beyond opportunity per game: receptions
the named quantile (q10 = tenth centile) of the PER-GAME receptions residual (opportunity_residual.per_game) across the player-seasons published for that season and group · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureBand edges for production beyond opportunity per game: rushing TDs
the named quantile (q10 = tenth centile) of the PER-GAME rushing TDs residual (opportunity_residual.per_game) across the player-seasons published for that season and group · 1999–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureBand edges for production beyond opportunity per game: rushing yards
the named quantile (q10 = tenth centile) of the PER-GAME rushing yards residual (opportunity_residual.per_game) across the player-seasons published for that season and group · 1999–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureHow much of receiving TDs volume explains
R^2 of receiving TDs on targets across one season's player-weeks in one position group · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureHow much of receiving yards volume explains
R^2 of receiving yards on targets + air_yards across one season's player-weeks in one position group · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureHow much of receptions volume explains
R^2 of receptions on targets across one season's player-weeks in one position group · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureHow much of rushing TDs volume explains
R^2 of rushing TDs on carries across one season's player-weeks in one position group · 1999–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureHow much of rushing yards volume explains
R^2 of rushing yards on carries across one season's player-weeks in one position group · 1999–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity per game: receiving TDs
receiving TDs minus what his targets predicted, per game played over the season (the summed residual divided by his games) · 2009–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity per game: receiving yards
receiving yards minus what his targets + air_yards predicted, per game played over the season (the summed residual divided by his games) · 2009–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity per game: receptions
receptions minus what his targets predicted, per game played over the season (the summed residual divided by his games) · 2009–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity per game: rushing TDs
rushing TDs minus what his carries predicted, per game played over the season (the summed residual divided by his games) · 1999–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity per game: rushing yards
rushing yards minus what his carries predicted, per game played over the season (the summed residual divided by his games) · 1999–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureDoes it persist: receiving TDs volume against efficiency
Pearson r of a player's per-game value between two samples of himself - season T and T+1, or odd and even weeks - for the volume-predicted receiving TDs (opportunity), the residual (efficiency), and opportunity minus efficiency (gap), all three from one set of resamples of players · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureDoes it persist: receiving yards volume against efficiency
Pearson r of a player's per-game value between two samples of himself - season T and T+1, or odd and even weeks - for the volume-predicted receiving yards (opportunity), the residual (efficiency), and opportunity minus efficiency (gap), all three from one set of resamples of players · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureDoes it persist: receptions volume against efficiency
Pearson r of a player's per-game value between two samples of himself - season T and T+1, or odd and even weeks - for the volume-predicted receptions (opportunity), the residual (efficiency), and opportunity minus efficiency (gap), all three from one set of resamples of players · 2009–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureDoes it persist: rushing TDs volume against efficiency
Pearson r of a player's per-game value between two samples of himself - season T and T+1, or odd and even weeks - for the volume-predicted rushing TDs (opportunity), the residual (efficiency), and opportunity minus efficiency (gap), all three from one set of resamples of players · 1999–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureDoes it persist: rushing yards volume against efficiency
Pearson r of a player's per-game value between two samples of himself - season T and T+1, or odd and even weeks - for the volume-predicted rushing yards (opportunity), the residual (efficiency), and opportunity minus efficiency (gap), all three from one set of resamples of players · 1999–2026
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity: receiving TDs
receiving TDs over the season minus what his targets predicted, SUMMED over his games, so it grows with games played - band or rank on opportunity_residual.per_game.receiving_tds instead · 2009–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity: receiving yards
receiving yards over the season minus what his targets + air_yards predicted, SUMMED over his games, so it grows with games played - band or rank on opportunity_residual.per_game.receiving_yards instead · 2009–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity: receptions
receptions over the season minus what his targets predicted, SUMMED over his games, so it grows with games played - band or rank on opportunity_residual.per_game.receptions instead · 2009–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity: rushing TDs
rushing TDs over the season minus what his carries predicted, SUMMED over his games, so it grows with games played - band or rank on opportunity_residual.per_game.rushing_tds instead · 1999–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureProduction beyond opportunity: rushing yards
rushing yards over the season minus what his carries predicted, SUMMED over his games, so it grows with games played - band or rank on opportunity_residual.per_game.rushing_yards instead · 1999–2026
Leaderboard on its own page.
Open the measureBy position
No carry-over is published for this family, so there is none to split by position. Where a measure’s file carries a position, its leaderboard marks it on every row.