One measure, in full · Opportunity residual
Band edges for production beyond opportunity per game: receiving TDs
Definition
One definition, the column that binds its range, and what the figure is a share of.
the named quantile (q10 = tenth centile) of the PER-GAME receiving TDs residual (opportunity_residual.per_game) across the player-seasons published for that season and group; edges for bands, not ranks. The interval resamples players
opportunity_residual.bands.receiving_tds
- Source
weekly_stats; n counts independent players- Bound column
- starts 2009: weekly_stats.targets is not usable before it; fit receiving TDs ~ targets, OLS per season x position group over player-weeks; R^2 WR median 0.107 (0.078-0.134, 18 seasons); TE median 0.088 (0.062-0.125, 18 seasons); RB median 0.043 (0.022-0.061, 18 seasons); position group is the player's CURRENT nflverse position applied to every season, not as-of; edges of the per-game residual
- Columns it reads
weekly_stats.targets,weekly_stats.receiving_tds,weekly_stats.position- Denominator
- Not a share: the figure has no denominator it splits with anyone.
- Season range
- Current 2009–2026. Current. Its inputs cover 2009 to 2026 and reach the season in progress.
- Slices
season|position_group|quantile- Refreshed
- This file was generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:32 AM ET. It does not state a refresh schedule.
Distribution
No distribution: the file is one figure for the whole league, not a value per player.
Does it carry?
No week-to-week carry-over is published for this measure. Its file holds a value per league with its interval; whether a week above average carries into the next is not in it.
Leaderboard
No leaderboard: the file is one league-wide figure, not a value per player.
What the file does and does not say
Four limits, stated plainly.
- Interval from resampling players with replacement, 2,000 times. Built at 95%. That coverage is nominal: this page does not check it against outcomes.
- n counts independent players, never rows. A value resting on fewer than 5 players is shown muted in the table and not read: it is left out of the range and the leaders.
- It covers 2009 to 2026, and says why in the producer's words: starts 2009: weekly_stats.targets is not usable before it; fit receiving TDs ~ targets, OLS per season x position group over player-weeks; R^2 WR median 0.107 (0.078-0.134, 18 seasons); TE median 0.088 (0.062-0.125, 18 seasons); RB median 0.043 (0.022-0.061, 18 seasons); position group is the player's CURRENT nflverse position applied to every season, not as-of; edges of the per-game residual.
- It is one figure for the whole league, pooled. It does not say what any one player does, and it does not split by position.