calibrated SPORTS

One measure, in full · Game script

Game-script elasticity, receptions

Game script

Not published
Week-to-week carry-over
−0.18 – 0.11
Range of values
0.11
Highest estimate, shared
204 intervals reach it · players active in 2026
n = 1,462
Values in the opening slice

Definition

One definition, the column that binds its range, and what the figure is a share of.

share of team receptions when trailing by 7+, minus the same share when leading by 7+

script_elasticity.receptions

Source
pbp; n counts independent games
Bound column
the whole archive, 1999-2026; no input binds it
Columns it reads
pbp.receiver_player_id|complete_pass
Denominator
The team's total: teammates split one denominator.
Season range
Current 1999–2026. Current. Its inputs cover 1999 to 2026 and reach the season in progress.
Slices
script_bucket; the page opens on the headline value
Refreshed
This file was generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:33 AM ET. It does not state a refresh schedule.

Distribution

The middle half sits between −0.03 and 0.01.

Game-script elasticity, receptions, headline value · N = 1,462 with at least 5 games · 1999–2026

−0.18 to −0.16: 2−0.16 to −0.14: 4−0.14 to −0.12: 6−0.12 to −0.10: 9−0.10 to −0.08: 33−0.08 to −0.06: 84−0.06 to −0.04: 162−0.04 to −0.02: 297−0.02 to 0.00: 3490.00 to 0.02: 2670.02 to 0.04: 1580.04 to 0.06: 590.06 to 0.08: 180.08 to 0.10: 100.10 to 0.12: 4

Darker bars: 0.02 and up, 249 of 1,462 values, the top fifth (17%).

Does it carry?

No week-to-week carry-over is published for this measure. Its file holds a value per player with its interval; whether a week above average carries into the next is not in it.

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What the file does and does not say

Four limits, stated plainly.

  1. Interval from resampling games with replacement, 2,000 times. Built at 95%. That coverage is nominal: this page does not check it against outcomes.
  2. n counts independent games, never rows. A value resting on fewer than 5 games is shown muted in the table and not read: it is left out of the range and the leaders.
  3. It covers 1999 to 2026, and says why in the producer's words: the whole archive, 1999-2026; no input binds it.
  4. A share of a team total: teammates split one denominator, so two teammates' intervals side by side are not two independent estimates.