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NFLTeamsMin

MIN · NFC North

Minnesota Vikings

6–0NFC North · 1st1999–2026 in the record460 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

6 OF 17 PLAYED
1W
2W
3W
4W
5W
6B
7W
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8@ Detroit LionsLineMIN +3Total46.5Sunday, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · opposing coach Dan Campbell. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7W 16–10vs Indianapolis ColtsMIN16IND10Margin +6. Listed line −6.5; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026+8.5points a gameWidest +17 against Green Bay Packers; narrowest +5 against Miami Dolphins. Eleven games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

NFC North, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • MIN80%
  • DET10%
  • CHI9%
  • GB<2%

Season path

125 points for through week 7 of 2026: 6 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W1839487186109125PACE 354
Through week 7125
Per game20.8
17-game pace354
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 6
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

6 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13vs Green Bay PackersW 39–22 +17LINE −1.5 · O/U 46.5Matt LaFleur
WEEK 2Sep 20@ Chicago BearsW 9–3 +6LINE +4.5 · O/U 46.5Ben Johnson
WEEK 3Sep 27@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersW 23–16 +7LINE −1.5 · O/U 42.5Todd Bowles
WEEK 4Oct 4vs Miami DolphinsW 15–10 +5LINE −10 · O/U 38.5Jeff Hafley
WEEK 5Oct 11@ New Orleans SaintsW 23–13 +10LINE −2.5 · O/U 41.5Kellen Moore
WEEK 6

Bye

WEEK 7Oct 25vs Indianapolis ColtsW 16–10 +6LINE −6.5 · O/U 41.5Shane Steichen
WEEK 8Nov 1@ Detroit LionsNot yet playedLINE +3 · O/U 46.5Dan Campbell
WEEK 9Nov 9vs Buffalo BillsNot yet playedSean McDermott
WEEK 10Nov 15@ Green Bay PackersNot yet playedMatt LaFleur
WEEK 11Nov 22@ San Francisco 49ersNot yet playedKyle Shanahan
WEEK 12Nov 29vs Atlanta FalconsNot yet playedRaheem Morris
WEEK 13Dec 6vs Carolina PanthersNot yet playedDave Canales
WEEK 14Dec 10@ New England PatriotsNot yet playedMike Vrabel
WEEK 15Dec 20vs Detroit LionsNot yet playedDan Campbell
WEEK 16Dec 27vs Washington CommandersNot yet playedDan Quinn
WEEK 17Jan 3@ New York JetsNot yet playedAaron Glenn
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Chicago BearsNot yet playedBen Johnson

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

20.8 points a game in 2026, over 6 games.

Points / game20.82026 · 6 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game57.52026 · 6 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play30.4s 29.0s–31.7s
Neutral plays per game31.7 26.0–37.7

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Aaron Jones leads the offense with 37% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 51%WR 25%TE 14%QB 10%
RBAaron Jones637%12%58%65%
TET.J. Hockenson610%21%0%64%
RBJordan Mason210%1%17%55%
WRJustin Jefferson510%20%1%77%
WRJordan Addison58%16%1%90%
QBKyler Murray57%0%14%83%
WRMyles Price62%5%1%16%
WRJauan Jennings52%5%0%70%
TEGavin Bartholomew32%5%0%32%
QBCarson Wentz22%0%4%92%
RBDemond Claiborne42%1%3%7%
WRTai Felton42%5%0%47%
RBDeeJay Dallas62%3%2%12%
TEJosh Oliver31%3%0%55%
TEBen Yurosek10%1%0%55%
RBMax Bredeson20%1%0%18%
WRJeshaun Jones20%1%0%6%

Offensive line, 8 players at 10% to 100% snap share: Blake Brandel, Brian O'Neill, Christian Darrisaw, Ryan Van Demark, Will Fries, Joe Huber, Donovan Jackson, Caleb Tiernan. 23 defensive and 4 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SIX GAMES
24.9'9918.1'0126.0'0319.1'0522.8'0729.4'0921.3'1124.4'1322.8'1523.9'1725.4'1925.0'2120.2'2320.2'2520.8'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026625.5181.31.030.2119.30.527.317.7181.31.020.80.3
20251727.5188.71.124.1108.30.928.517.5188.71.120.21.2
20241730.4257.62.126.9109.10.532.221.4257.62.125.40.7
20231735.6276.51.823.191.40.437.124.9276.51.820.21.1
20221737.7283.41.823.897.71.139.526.4283.41.824.90.9
20211734.0261.82.026.4113.50.635.523.4261.82.025.00.4
20201630.3266.62.229.3142.71.332.321.8266.62.226.90.8
20191627.6233.11.629.8133.31.229.119.9233.11.625.40.5
20181637.0268.61.922.393.30.637.926.6268.61.922.50.6
20171632.6245.61.631.3122.30.932.922.3245.61.623.90.5
20161636.6257.41.323.875.30.636.825.9257.41.320.40.3
20151627.7202.90.929.6138.21.128.418.4202.90.922.80.6
20141631.9222.91.125.8112.80.832.320.1222.91.120.31.1
20131633.4227.81.126.4130.11.434.120.3227.81.124.41.2
20121629.9183.41.130.4164.61.030.218.8183.41.123.70.8
20111631.6203.41.328.0144.91.131.917.9203.41.321.31.1
20101631.4207.90.927.6121.41.031.619.1207.90.917.61.6
20091634.3275.22.129.2119.91.234.623.6275.22.129.40.4
200816—201.11.432.4145.60.928.316.7201.11.423.71.1
200716—183.40.830.9164.61.427.015.6183.40.822.80.9
200616—212.60.827.8113.90.833.820.8212.60.817.61.3
200516—215.61.123.891.30.631.820.1215.61.119.11.0
200416—297.12.424.3113.90.534.623.8297.12.425.30.8
200316—260.62.030.8146.40.932.520.8260.62.026.00.8
20021634.1246.91.229.6156.71.634.921.1246.91.224.41.4
20011633.8240.91.423.5100.60.634.720.9240.91.418.11.4
20001630.2251.22.126.8133.10.930.919.2251.22.124.81.1
19991631.9269.92.026.4112.80.833.019.8269.92.024.91.3

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026612.334.51.225.85.73.59.01.25.30.80.00.0
20251719.636.41.434.36.32.95.80.53.21.10.10.0
20241719.534.45.225.55.62.86.61.45.60.70.10.0
2024 POST127.026.02.028.04.02.05.00.02.00.00.00.0
20231721.337.47.425.93.42.55.40.63.91.30.00.0
20221725.140.37.121.63.92.25.20.95.10.60.00.0
2022 POST131.040.05.017.05.03.04.00.04.01.00.00.0
20211725.138.66.326.13.23.05.90.94.00.80.10.0
20201629.739.42.825.02.81.44.40.93.50.70.00.1
20191618.943.82.418.25.13.06.31.15.21.20.10.1
2019 POST223.544.01.525.52.02.55.01.04.01.00.00.0
20181621.340.92.917.95.33.15.90.83.90.50.10.0
20171615.837.81.418.14.82.35.40.94.40.50.10.0
2017 POST231.044.50.013.03.51.54.01.05.50.50.00.0
20161619.240.40.619.73.92.67.10.93.70.80.10.1
20151618.943.66.311.64.32.76.90.84.10.70.10.0
2015 POST110.036.010.010.04.02.07.01.08.00.00.00.0
20141621.444.81.816.44.22.65.80.83.80.60.10.0
20131630.045.53.121.45.12.65.50.83.80.80.00.0
20121621.845.62.217.44.62.85.50.64.81.00.20.0
2012 POST124.045.011.025.07.03.05.00.02.00.00.00.0
20111628.145.02.619.4—3.15.40.53.31.20.00.1
20101621.841.46.315.6—1.94.80.94.00.80.10.0
20091619.543.66.49.7—2.85.80.73.91.40.00.1
2009 POST217.048.06.07.0—3.57.00.53.51.50.00.0
20081620.842.37.112.4—2.85.50.84.11.40.00.1
2008 POST126.045.05.013.0—3.07.01.03.01.00.00.0
20071619.447.35.212.4—2.23.91.14.91.30.40.0
20061620.440.65.412.5—1.83.31.34.40.90.20.0
20051621.543.67.914.2—2.1—1.55.40.80.20.0
20041624.740.110.316.6—2.4—0.74.41.10.10.0
2004 POST222.039.59.017.0—1.5—2.06.02.00.00.0
20031622.141.36.310.2—2.3—1.85.61.20.30.0
20021627.637.910.314.44.11.61.61.03.40.30.10.0
20011624.441.97.815.14.11.92.10.54.40.90.10.0
20001623.243.18.412.14.41.91.80.53.40.60.00.0
2000 POST228.538.521.024.03.51.51.52.07.00.50.00.0
19991620.943.88.914.13.62.92.30.83.61.30.10.0
1999 POST229.542.03.05.06.01.51.51.02.51.00.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

6 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Kevin O'Connell
2025Kevin O'Connell
2024Kevin O'Connell
2023Kevin O'Connell
2022Kevin O'Connell
2021Mike Zimmer
2020Mike Zimmer
2019Mike Zimmer
2018Mike Zimmer
2017Mike Zimmer
2016Mike Zimmer
2015Mike Zimmer
2014Mike Zimmer
2013Leslie Frazier
2012Leslie Frazier
2011Leslie Frazier
2010Brad Childress
2009Brad Childress
2008Brad Childress
2007Brad Childress
2006Brad Childress
2005Mike Tice
2004Mike Tice
2003Mike Tice
2002Mike Tice
2001Dennis Green
2000Dennis Green
1999Dennis Green

In the news

471 scheduled · 460 played · 52 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET