calibrated SPORTS
NFLTeamsSf

SF · NFC West

San Francisco 49ers

6–1NFC West · 1st1999–2026 in the record469 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1W
2W
3W
4W
5W
6W
7L
8B
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 9vs Las Vegas RaidersLine—Total—Sunday, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET · opposing coach Klint Kubliak.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7L 20–29@ Atlanta FalconsSF20ATL29Margin −9. Listed line −2.5; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026+8.3points a gameWidest +22 against Miami Dolphins; narrowest −9 at Atlanta Falcons. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

NFC West, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • SF80%
  • SEA18%
  • LA<2%
  • ARI<2%

Season path

197 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400500W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18276298122154177197PACE 478
Through week 7197
Per game28.1
17-game pace478
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 8
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 10@ Los Angeles RamsW 27–7 +20LINE +3.5 · O/U 47.5Sean McVay
WEEK 2Sep 20vs Miami DolphinsW 35–13 +22LINE −12.5 · O/U 44.5Jeff Hafley
WEEK 3Sep 27vs Arizona CardinalsW 36–30 +6LINE −7.5 · O/U 48.5Jonathan Gannon
WEEK 4Oct 4vs Denver BroncosW 24–14 +10LINE −3 · O/U 48.5Sean Payton
WEEK 5Oct 11@ Seattle SeahawksW 32–29 +3LINE +3 · O/U 46.5Mike Macdonald
WEEK 6Oct 19vs Washington CommandersW 23–17 +6LINE −7.5 · O/U 51.5Dan Quinn
WEEK 7Oct 25@ Atlanta FalconsL 20–29 −9LINE −2.5 · O/U 49.5Raheem Morris
WEEK 8

Bye

WEEK 9Nov 8vs Las Vegas RaidersNot yet playedKlint Kubliak
WEEK 10Nov 15@ Dallas CowboysNot yet playedBrian Schottenheimer
WEEK 11Nov 22vs Minnesota VikingsNot yet playedKevin O'Connell
WEEK 12Nov 29vs Seattle SeahawksNot yet playedMike Macdonald
WEEK 13Dec 6@ New York GiantsNot yet playedJohn Harbaugh
WEEK 14Dec 13vs Los Angeles RamsNot yet playedSean McVay
WEEK 15Dec 17@ Los Angeles ChargersNot yet playedJim Harbaugh
WEEK 16Dec 27@ Kansas City ChiefsNot yet playedAndy Reid
WEEK 17Jan 3vs Philadelphia EaglesNot yet playedNick Sirianni
WEEK 18Jan 10@ Arizona CardinalsNot yet playedJonathan Gannon

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

28.1 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game28.12026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game57.42026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play31.2s 30.0s–32.3s
Neutral plays per game34.5 27.5–41.8

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Christian McCaffrey leads the offense with 32% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 49%WR 26%TE 13%QB 9%FB 3%C 0%
RBChristian McCaffrey732%20%44%69%
RBKaelon Black716%3%30%29%
TEGeorge Kittle712%22%0%77%
WRMike Evans610%19%0%54%
QBBrock Purdy78%0%17%98%
WRDeebo Samuel Sr.57%10%5%58%
WRJacob Cowing73%5%1%32%
FBKyle Juszczyk53%5%0%49%
WRJordan Watkins32%4%0%60%
WRBrandin Cooks42%4%0%43%
RBJordan James42%0%3%5%
WRDemarcus Robinson22%3%0%47%
TELuke Farrell71%2%0%50%
QBMac Jones11%0%1%15%
CJake Brendel10%0%0%100%
WRKhaDarel Hodge30%0%0%32%
TEBrayden Willis40%0%0%17%

Offensive line, 5 players at 15% to 100% snap share: Colton McKivitz, Connor Colby, Dominick Puni, Trent Williams, Vederian Lowe. 29 defensive and 2 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
18.4'9925.6'0124.0'0314.9'0513.7'0720.6'0923.8'1125.4'1314.9'1520.7'1729.9'1925.1'2128.9'2325.7'2528.1'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026729.3249.72.127.3127.41.430.120.9249.72.128.10.6
20251732.4254.01.928.3106.90.933.823.4254.01.925.70.9
20241730.2260.21.426.9127.21.031.420.5260.21.422.90.9
20231727.7269.21.929.4140.51.628.919.8269.21.928.90.7
20221729.6238.21.829.6138.81.230.119.9238.21.826.50.5
20211729.2261.01.529.4127.41.330.220.2261.01.525.10.8
20201634.6270.01.627.3118.11.235.623.2270.01.623.51.1
20191629.2251.81.831.1144.11.429.920.7251.81.829.90.8
20181632.2265.41.626.4118.90.433.320.7265.41.621.41.3
20171637.4264.70.925.5103.90.937.922.6264.70.920.70.9
20161630.4197.91.328.6126.20.930.717.9197.91.319.30.6
20151632.8227.91.024.496.50.432.920.1227.91.014.90.8
20141630.3212.91.329.4136.00.630.418.3212.91.319.10.6
20131625.7200.61.331.6137.61.126.115.3200.61.325.40.5
20121626.9221.91.430.8155.71.127.318.1221.91.424.80.5
20111628.1199.61.131.1127.80.928.217.3199.61.123.80.3
20101630.5225.81.225.1103.60.631.317.6225.81.219.10.9
20091632.6205.81.423.2100.00.833.019.5205.81.420.60.9
200816—232.81.324.899.90.631.819.3232.81.321.21.2
200716—167.80.922.392.30.532.117.1167.80.913.71.1
200616—181.31.027.3136.20.827.816.2181.31.018.60.9
200516—136.90.526.8105.60.624.312.8136.90.514.91.3
200416—215.91.025.890.60.635.120.3215.91.016.21.3
200316—222.91.631.1142.81.031.918.7222.91.624.00.9
20021634.8223.51.430.6140.31.035.722.1223.51.422.90.6
20011631.1222.42.031.8140.31.031.619.9222.42.025.60.8
20001635.6275.02.026.0112.60.936.422.9275.02.024.30.6
19991634.1220.40.926.1130.90.934.820.3220.40.918.41.2

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026719.936.70.333.43.42.15.40.42.91.10.00.0
20251721.835.31.031.93.81.23.40.43.30.80.10.0
2025 POST230.038.51.525.56.51.52.00.01.50.00.00.0
20241725.634.44.424.73.92.14.70.64.20.80.10.0
20231717.535.66.121.54.12.87.21.34.90.60.10.0
2023 POST325.741.35.726.34.01.76.01.02.31.30.00.0
20221716.335.15.823.43.92.67.11.24.60.90.10.0
2022 POST322.041.73.020.35.01.72.71.03.70.30.00.0
20211721.537.34.224.24.92.86.10.53.21.30.10.0
2021 POST315.738.76.021.34.04.09.70.72.71.00.00.0
20201624.439.02.619.13.61.94.50.83.90.80.10.0
20191619.440.53.317.74.83.05.80.84.71.40.20.0
2019 POST320.341.32.314.35.34.36.31.74.32.30.00.0
20181627.240.26.115.14.52.35.80.12.40.70.10.0
20171623.943.45.214.84.11.96.30.63.61.10.10.0
20161630.046.15.317.53.81.94.90.64.60.90.00.0
20151624.245.56.615.83.71.84.80.63.60.30.10.0
20141621.341.93.911.54.62.24.91.45.20.60.10.0
20131617.042.86.111.84.32.45.11.15.10.80.10.1
2013 POST317.738.35.323.33.74.38.30.72.71.30.00.0
20121617.141.84.414.64.02.44.40.94.80.90.10.1
2012 POST329.746.05.310.02.31.34.70.74.01.00.00.3
20111614.341.14.510.8—2.65.91.46.61.20.10.1
2011 POST226.056.58.010.0—4.511.51.08.02.00.00.0
20101621.649.94.412.0—2.34.40.94.40.80.20.0
20091617.646.95.414.1—2.85.71.14.31.30.10.0
20081623.844.84.916.3—1.93.60.84.90.80.10.0
20071622.847.15.217.3—1.93.40.84.30.80.00.1
20061625.845.26.914.8—2.13.60.94.11.10.10.0
20051626.848.85.414.9—1.7—1.05.80.80.20.0
20041628.345.07.813.9—1.8—0.64.91.10.00.1
20031621.142.37.612.0—2.6—1.45.60.90.10.1
20021621.940.111.412.33.62.01.91.25.60.90.10.0
2002 POST234.545.016.019.04.01.51.01.06.01.50.00.0
20011617.641.110.211.13.82.01.91.55.11.30.10.0
2001 POST125.032.014.022.03.01.01.01.02.00.00.00.0
20001626.441.35.016.54.12.42.40.85.30.90.10.0
19991628.342.34.210.45.02.02.00.85.30.50.10.1

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

8 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Kyle Shanahan
2025Kyle Shanahan
2024Kyle Shanahan
2023Kyle Shanahan
2022Kyle Shanahan
2021Kyle Shanahan
2020Kyle Shanahan
2019Kyle Shanahan
2018Kyle Shanahan
2017Kyle Shanahan
2016Chip Kelly
2015Jim Tomsula
2014Jim Harbaugh
2013Jim Harbaugh
2012Jim Harbaugh
2011Jim Harbaugh
2010Mike Singletary
2009Mike Singletary
2008Mike Singletary
2007Mike Nolan
2006Mike Nolan
2005Mike Nolan
2004Dennis Erickson
2003Dennis Erickson
2002Steve Mariucci
2001Steve Mariucci
2000Steve Mariucci
1999Steve Mariucci

In the news

479 scheduled · 469 played · 53 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET