calibrated SPORTS
NFLTeamsLac

LAC · AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

0–6AFC West · 4th1999–2026 in the record458 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

6 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2L
3L
4L
5L
6L
7B
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
LossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8@ Los Angeles RamsLineLAC +6.5Total44.5Sunday, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET · opposing coach Sean McVay. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 6L 6–22@ Kansas City ChiefsLAC6KC22Margin −16. Listed line +7.5; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026−10.2points a gameWidest −6 against Denver Broncos; narrowest −16 at Kansas City Chiefs. Eleven games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

AFC West, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • DEN54%
  • KC45%
  • LV<2%
  • LAC<2%

Season path

90 points for through week 6 of 2026: 6 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18142844678490PACE 255
Through week 690
Per game15.0
17-game pace255
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 7
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

6 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13vs Arizona CardinalsL 14–26 −12LINE −8.5 · O/U 47.5Jonathan Gannon
WEEK 2Sep 20vs Las Vegas RaidersL 14–26 −12LINE −6.5 · O/U 43.5Klint Kubliak
WEEK 3Sep 27@ Buffalo BillsL 16–24 −8LINE +7 · O/U 50.5Sean McDermott
WEEK 4Oct 4@ Seattle SeahawksL 23–30 −7LINE +7 · O/U 42.5Mike Macdonald
WEEK 5Oct 11vs Denver BroncosL 17–23 −6LINE +3.5 · O/U 42.5Sean Payton
WEEK 6Oct 18@ Kansas City ChiefsL 6–22 −16LINE +7.5 · O/U 41.5Andy Reid
WEEK 7

Bye

WEEK 8Nov 1@ Los Angeles RamsNot yet playedLINE +6.5 · O/U 44.5Sean McVay
WEEK 9Nov 8vs Houston TexansNot yet playedDeMeco Ryans
WEEK 10Nov 16@ Baltimore RavensNot yet playedJesse Minter
WEEK 11Nov 22vs New York JetsNot yet playedAaron Glenn
WEEK 12Nov 29vs New England PatriotsNot yet playedMike Vrabel
WEEK 13Dec 6@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersNot yet playedTodd Bowles
WEEK 14Dec 13@ Las Vegas RaidersNot yet playedKlint Kubliak
WEEK 15Dec 17vs San Francisco 49ersNot yet playedKyle Shanahan
WEEK 16Dec 27@ Miami DolphinsNot yet playedJeff Hafley
WEEK 17Jan 3vs Kansas City ChiefsNot yet playedAndy Reid
WEEK 18Jan 10@ Denver BroncosNot yet playedSean Payton

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

15.0 points a game in 2026, over 6 games.

Points / game15.02026 · 6 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game58.32026 · 6 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play30.7s 29.3s–32.1s
Neutral plays per game33.1 25.7–40.4

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Omarion Hampton leads the offense with 26% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 50%WR 27%TE 13%QB 9%FB 1%
RBOmarion Hampton626%6%47%46%
RBKeaton Mitchell615%9%21%32%
RBKimani Vidal510%7%12%30%
QBJustin Herbert69%1%17%100%
WRTre Harris57%14%0%71%
WRQuentin Johnston57%13%1%81%
TEOronde Gadsden II66%12%1%47%
WRLadd McConkey55%10%0%46%
TECharlie Kolar44%7%0%65%
WRKeAndre Lambert-Smith13%5%0%87%
TEDavid Njoku22%5%0%36%
WRMarquez Valdes-Scantling31%3%0%39%
WRTheo Wease Jr.21%2%0%56%
FBAlec Ingold31%2%0%41%
WRDerius Davis61%2%1%10%
WRBrenen Thompson11%2%0%18%
TEHayden Rucci30%1%0%24%
TEPatrick Herbert10%0%0%6%

Offensive line, 8 players at 4% to 100% snap share: Cole Strange, Jake Slaughter, Joe Alt, Rashawn Slater, Kayode Awosika, Travis Burke, Trevor Penning, Daniel Brunskill. 26 defensive and 3 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SIX GAMES
16.8'9920.8'0119.6'0326.1'0525.8'0728.4'0925.4'1124.8'1320.0'1522.2'1721.1'1927.9'2120.4'2321.6'2515.0'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026629.0190.20.828.2119.00.730.217.8190.20.815.01.3
20251732.0232.51.527.4121.60.633.521.6232.51.521.60.8
20241728.9229.51.427.2110.71.030.019.8229.51.423.60.2
20231736.1253.61.425.496.60.637.224.1253.61.420.40.5
20221740.4281.81.523.889.60.941.828.5281.81.523.00.6
20211738.8294.92.224.9107.91.139.626.1294.92.227.90.9
20201638.2284.31.929.1111.50.839.225.8284.31.924.00.6
20191636.0290.51.522.990.80.837.324.6290.51.521.11.3
20181631.6269.82.024.9117.11.032.021.8269.82.026.80.8
20171635.8284.41.826.299.70.636.422.9284.41.822.20.7
20161635.3274.12.124.994.40.636.321.8274.12.125.61.3
20151641.2303.41.924.684.90.341.727.6303.41.920.00.8
20141635.4268.51.924.985.40.435.923.8268.51.921.81.1
20131633.4279.92.030.4122.80.634.023.6279.92.024.80.7
20121632.1225.41.625.791.30.333.021.1225.41.621.90.9
20111635.4289.01.727.3116.51.036.422.9289.01.725.41.3
20101633.2296.61.928.6113.11.134.022.4296.61.927.60.8
20091631.9281.61.826.788.91.132.421.1281.61.828.40.6
200816—250.32.126.3107.90.829.919.5250.32.127.40.7
200716—198.41.430.3127.41.229.417.6198.41.425.81.0
200616—213.21.532.6161.42.029.117.9213.21.530.80.6
200516—233.61.729.1129.31.432.921.1233.61.726.11.0
200416—219.11.832.9136.61.528.118.0219.11.827.90.5
200316—201.61.326.1134.11.032.818.6201.61.319.61.2
20021632.6210.51.129.1133.61.233.620.3210.51.120.81.0
20011633.8230.31.027.2105.90.834.319.3230.31.020.81.1
20001633.2210.71.221.163.30.433.918.4210.71.216.81.8
19991634.7226.70.825.677.90.636.420.8226.70.816.81.5

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026625.236.20.831.83.31.86.30.83.81.50.00.0
20251720.035.11.125.45.32.65.41.14.90.60.00.1
2025 POST116.038.00.024.07.05.05.01.02.02.00.00.0
20241717.736.03.523.94.52.65.80.95.10.50.10.0
2024 POST132.046.03.025.07.03.05.01.05.02.00.00.0
20231723.437.86.920.34.12.85.20.54.90.90.00.0
20221722.632.56.421.63.82.44.50.83.80.90.10.1
2022 POST131.040.04.022.02.02.05.04.013.00.00.00.0
20211727.037.75.925.13.22.15.20.63.31.10.00.0
20201626.638.72.821.03.21.75.30.83.40.40.10.1
20191621.640.23.319.14.11.84.20.72.80.40.00.0
20181620.638.84.420.84.02.45.30.84.60.40.10.0
2018 POST229.043.04.026.07.03.55.50.53.51.00.00.0
20171617.038.511.218.14.62.75.41.14.90.80.10.0
20161626.441.85.713.85.42.25.41.15.40.90.20.0
20151624.939.67.313.24.22.04.70.73.90.70.10.0
20141621.838.910.616.63.81.63.30.43.41.00.00.0
20131621.840.78.412.93.62.13.90.74.20.70.10.0
2013 POST217.050.01.018.03.01.53.51.55.51.00.00.0
20121621.939.69.716.33.82.44.60.94.51.10.30.1
20111623.639.19.515.0—2.03.41.14.20.40.10.0
20101620.140.98.011.0—2.93.81.04.30.70.20.1
20091620.038.912.715.3—2.13.00.94.11.10.10.0
2009 POST117.042.015.015.0—1.03.01.04.00.00.00.0
20081621.743.511.915.0—1.62.80.94.90.80.10.0
2008 POST226.035.514.027.0—1.01.50.03.50.00.00.0
20071617.839.913.415.1—2.63.91.95.91.10.10.0
2007 POST317.037.318.719.3—1.73.02.04.71.00.00.0
20061618.935.914.618.1—3.84.61.06.41.10.00.0
2006 POST124.042.013.013.0—2.06.03.08.02.00.00.0
20051619.538.313.614.8—2.9—0.65.91.00.10.0
20041619.636.913.915.5—1.8—1.46.40.70.10.0
2004 POST120.035.017.019.0—2.0—0.03.00.00.00.0
20031627.645.69.912.4—1.9—0.84.30.90.10.0
20021622.944.58.610.74.62.42.41.14.90.80.10.1
20011620.144.48.410.44.42.62.21.24.61.00.10.0
20001627.544.17.38.75.62.32.10.94.60.40.20.0
19991619.844.06.811.15.12.62.40.95.11.00.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

7 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Jim Harbaugh
2025Jim Harbaugh
2024Jim Harbaugh
2023Brandon Staley
2022Brandon Staley
2021Brandon Staley
2020Anthony Lynn
2019Anthony Lynn
2018Anthony Lynn
2017Anthony Lynn
2016Mike McCoy
2015Mike McCoy
2014Mike McCoy
2013Mike McCoy
2012Norv Turner
2011Norv Turner
2010Norv Turner
2009Norv Turner
2008Norv Turner
2007Norv Turner
2006Marty Schottenheimer
2005Marty Schottenheimer
2004Marty Schottenheimer
2003Marty Schottenheimer
2002Marty Schottenheimer
2001Mike Riley
2000Mike Riley
1999Mike Riley

In the news

469 scheduled · 458 played · 55 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET