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NFLTeamsHou

HOU · AFC South

Houston Texans

2–5AFC South · 3rd2002–2026 in the record412 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2L
3L
4L
5W
6W
7L
8B
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 9@ Los Angeles ChargersLine—Total—Sunday, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET · opposing coach Jim Harbaugh.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7L 21–27vs New York GiantsHOU21NYG27Margin −6. Listed line −10; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026−0.7points a gameWidest +23 at Tennessee Titans; narrowest −14 against Cincinnati Bengals. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

AFC South, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • JAX91%
  • HOU7%
  • IND2%
  • TEN<2%

Season path

165 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400500W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W1831375484110144165PACE 401
Through week 7165
Per game23.6
17-game pace401
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 8
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13vs Buffalo BillsL 31–36 −5LINE +1.5 · O/U 44.5Sean McDermott
WEEK 2Sep 20vs Cincinnati BengalsL 6–20 −14LINE −3 · O/U 45.5Zac Taylor
WEEK 3Sep 27@ Indianapolis ColtsL 17–19 −2LINE −1.5 · O/U 41.5Shane Steichen
WEEK 4Oct 4vs Dallas CowboysL 30–34 −4LINE −3 · O/U 48.5Brian Schottenheimer
WEEK 5Oct 11@ Tennessee TitansW 26–3 +23LINE −6.5 · O/U 37.5Robert Saleh
WEEK 6Oct 18@ Jacksonville JaguarsW 34–31 +3LINE +2.5 · O/U 42.5Liam Coen
WEEK 7Oct 25vs New York GiantsL 21–27 −6LINE −10 · O/U 42.5John Harbaugh
WEEK 8

Bye

WEEK 9Nov 8@ Los Angeles ChargersNot yet playedJim Harbaugh
WEEK 10Nov 15@ Cleveland BrownsNot yet playedTodd Monken
WEEK 11Nov 19vs Indianapolis ColtsNot yet playedShane Steichen
WEEK 12Nov 29vs Baltimore RavensNot yet playedJesse Minter
WEEK 13Dec 6@ Pittsburgh SteelersNot yet playedMike McCarthy
WEEK 14Dec 13@ Washington CommandersNot yet playedDan Quinn
WEEK 15Dec 20vs Jacksonville JaguarsNot yet playedLiam Coen
WEEK 16Dec 24@ Philadelphia EaglesNot yet playedNick Sirianni
WEEK 17Jan 4@ Green Bay PackersNot yet playedMatt LaFleur
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Tennessee TitansNot yet playedRobert Saleh

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

23.6 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game23.62026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game59.32026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play29.2s 28.1s–30.3s
Neutral plays per game36.1 29.1–42.2

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Woody Marks leads the offense with 24% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 40%WR 39%TE 17%QB 5%
RBWoody Marks724%7%46%62%
RBDavid Montgomery515%3%31%47%
WRXavier Hutchinson711%17%2%53%
TEDalton Schultz711%19%0%57%
WRNico Collins59%15%1%70%
WRJaylin Noel77%10%2%43%
WRKayshon Boutte76%10%0%54%
QBC.J. Stroud75%0%11%100%
TEFoster Moreau64%6%0%45%
WRJared Wayne43%5%0%44%
WRMarvin Harrison Jr.22%3%0%20%
RBJawhar Jordan12%0%4%22%
TECade Stover52%1%2%26%
TEBrevin Jordan41%1%0%9%
WRTank Dell11%0%1%23%
WRLewis Bond10%0%0%17%
TEMarlin Klein10%0%0%11%
RBBritish Brooks10%0%0%0%
RBDare Ogunbowale10%0%0%0%

Offensive line, 6 players at 41% to 100% snap share: Aireontae Ersery, Ed Ingram, Evan Brown, Keylan Rutledge, Trent Brown, Braden Smith. 30 defensive and 2 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 25 seasons, 2002–2026.

Points per game, by season

2002–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
13.3'0219.3'0416.7'0622.9'0824.4'1026.0'1223.3'1417.4'1625.1'1824.0'2017.0'2221.9'2423.6'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026733.0266.71.623.984.70.935.422.9266.71.623.60.1
20251732.5232.71.427.9108.90.534.221.4232.71.423.80.5
20241732.2232.51.225.5112.30.933.521.0232.51.221.90.7
20231733.3269.31.626.196.90.634.821.9269.31.622.20.5
20221732.8214.21.223.486.80.434.120.7214.21.217.01.1
20211730.8213.51.224.783.60.532.120.8213.51.216.50.9
20201632.8302.72.121.591.60.634.123.9302.72.124.00.4
20191632.4255.21.727.1125.61.133.422.2255.21.723.60.9
20181630.9260.31.629.5126.30.831.621.6260.31.625.10.6
20171632.3227.81.828.0115.10.532.818.7227.81.821.11.1
20161636.1213.60.928.5116.20.536.421.7213.60.917.41.0
20151638.4254.91.829.5108.20.438.722.4254.91.821.20.8
20141630.0216.31.434.4135.10.830.318.4216.31.423.30.8
20131638.8261.41.225.9108.90.439.623.2261.41.217.31.4
20121634.3252.91.431.8132.71.234.622.1252.91.426.00.8
20111628.4231.01.334.1153.01.129.218.0231.01.323.80.6
20101635.4273.11.526.4127.61.335.922.8273.11.524.40.8
20091636.4300.21.826.592.20.837.124.9300.21.824.31.1
200816—279.61.327.0115.41.034.722.9279.61.322.91.3
200716—245.31.526.199.10.833.121.6245.31.523.71.3
200616—189.40.927.0105.30.830.120.6189.40.916.70.8
200516—166.30.927.3113.50.628.116.9166.30.916.30.8
200416—222.21.029.9117.41.029.517.9222.21.019.30.9
200316—177.60.926.3103.20.927.415.5177.60.915.91.1
20021628.3177.40.828.592.10.430.115.7177.40.813.30.9

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 25 seasons, 2002–2026; the splits cover all 25.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026724.336.90.734.45.13.07.10.45.10.60.00.0
20251717.434.11.228.15.42.85.61.15.30.80.10.0
2025 POST217.035.51.032.08.54.57.01.05.03.00.50.0
20241721.935.54.122.66.22.95.81.15.30.60.10.1
2024 POST217.529.01.022.05.53.58.52.07.01.00.50.5
20231720.835.87.926.44.82.66.60.84.10.90.00.0
2023 POST224.043.07.022.08.53.56.01.03.00.01.00.0
20221724.739.98.824.64.12.34.60.93.80.80.10.1
20211726.637.97.025.73.91.94.11.03.80.90.10.1
20201629.041.05.023.13.72.15.00.23.10.60.10.0
20191624.139.13.920.43.01.95.70.84.70.90.10.0
2019 POST235.040.04.514.53.02.07.00.05.01.00.00.0
20181619.842.02.817.44.92.75.80.95.61.30.20.0
2018 POST121.040.02.020.01.00.04.01.07.00.00.00.0
20171627.338.84.019.34.92.04.40.73.60.80.10.0
20161620.539.53.118.43.81.95.60.74.40.40.10.0
2016 POST224.035.05.518.54.52.55.52.510.51.00.00.0
20151619.638.74.219.34.92.86.60.95.60.80.10.0
2015 POST130.041.010.032.04.03.04.01.02.00.00.00.0
20141619.241.15.019.64.52.47.31.35.91.10.30.1
20131626.841.84.313.54.11.96.60.44.30.60.10.1
20121620.742.42.614.45.32.86.90.97.31.10.20.1
2012 POST227.033.01.022.04.01.55.00.55.50.00.00.0
20111617.438.45.312.6—2.87.01.16.20.80.10.0
2011 POST215.033.518.521.5—4.55.51.58.01.00.50.0
20101626.737.911.619.1—1.95.90.83.70.70.00.0
20091620.838.111.315.1—1.85.20.94.70.80.10.1
20081624.636.712.215.2—1.63.50.83.80.90.10.0
20071624.040.512.814.3—1.93.10.75.01.10.00.0
20061622.940.312.113.3—1.83.40.74.10.80.10.0
20051626.940.411.818.1—2.3—0.44.51.30.00.0
20041621.239.111.115.3—1.4—1.46.40.60.10.0
20031623.842.211.818.1—1.2—0.96.80.70.10.0
20021622.346.19.915.34.52.42.30.67.00.70.30.2

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

25 seasons

7 head coaches across 25 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026DeMeco Ryans
2025DeMeco Ryans
2024DeMeco Ryans
2023DeMeco Ryans
2022Lovie Smith
2021David Culley
2020Romeo Crennel
2019Bill O'Brien
2018Bill O'Brien
2017Bill O'Brien
2016Bill O'Brien
2015Bill O'Brien
2014Bill O'Brien
2013Gary Kubiak
2012Gary Kubiak
2011Gary Kubiak
2010Gary Kubiak
2009Gary Kubiak
2008Gary Kubiak
2007Gary Kubiak
2006Gary Kubiak
2005Dom Capers
2004Dom Capers
2003Dom Capers
2002Dom Capers

In the news

422 scheduled · 412 played · 57 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET