calibrated SPORTS
NFLTeamsBal

BAL · AFC North

Baltimore Ravens

4–3AFC North · 4th1999–2026 in the record476 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1W
2L
3W
4W
5W
6L
7L
8
9
10
11
12
13B
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8@ Buffalo BillsLineBAL +3.5Total53.5Sunday, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · opposing coach Sean McDermott. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7L 13–35vs Cincinnati BengalsBAL13CIN35Margin −22. Listed line +3; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026+0.3points a gameWidest +18 at Indianapolis Colts; narrowest −22 against Cincinnati Bengals. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

AFC North, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • CIN40%
  • PIT35%
  • CLE20%
  • BAL5%

Season path

169 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400500W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18415892116146156169PACE 410
Through week 7169
Per game24.1
17-game pace410
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 13
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13@ Indianapolis ColtsW 41–23 +18LINE −3 · O/U 48.5Shane Steichen
WEEK 2Sep 20vs New Orleans SaintsL 17–24 −7LINE −8.5 · O/U 45.5Kellen Moore
WEEK 3Sep 27@ Dallas CowboysW 34–31 +3LINE −3 · O/U 53.5Brian Schottenheimer
WEEK 4Oct 4vs Tennessee TitansW 24–18 +6LINE −11.5 · O/U 42.5Robert Saleh
WEEK 5Oct 11@ Atlanta FalconsW 30–23 +7LINE +3.5 · O/U 44.5Raheem Morris
WEEK 6Oct 18@ Cleveland BrownsL 10–13 −3LINE −3 · O/U 39.5Todd Monken
WEEK 7Oct 25vs Cincinnati BengalsL 13–35 −22LINE +3 · O/U 46.5Zac Taylor
WEEK 8Nov 1@ Buffalo BillsNot yet playedLINE +3.5 · O/U 53.5Sean McDermott
WEEK 9Nov 5vs Jacksonville JaguarsNot yet playedLiam Coen
WEEK 10Nov 16vs Los Angeles ChargersNot yet playedJim Harbaugh
WEEK 11Nov 22@ Carolina PanthersNot yet playedDave Canales
WEEK 12Nov 29@ Houston TexansNot yet playedDeMeco Ryans
WEEK 13

Bye

WEEK 14Dec 13vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersNot yet playedTodd Bowles
WEEK 15Dec 20@ Pittsburgh SteelersNot yet playedMike McCarthy
WEEK 16Dec 27vs Cleveland BrownsNot yet playedTodd Monken
WEEK 17Dec 31@ Cincinnati BengalsNot yet playedZac Taylor
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Pittsburgh SteelersNot yet playedMike McCarthy

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

24.1 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game24.12026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game59.12026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play30.9s 29.3s–32.5s
Neutral plays per game32.4 26.5–37.8

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Derrick Henry leads the offense with 39% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 49%WR 29%TE 13%QB 9%
RBDerrick Henry739%6%69%57%
WRZay Flowers614%27%1%65%
RBJustice Hill79%9%10%43%
TEMark Andrews79%19%0%65%
WRRashod Bateman76%13%0%70%
QBLamar Jackson45%0%9%88%
QBTyler Huntley44%0%8%87%
WRJa'Kobi Lane33%7%0%54%
TEJosh Cuevas53%6%0%28%
WRDevontez Walker52%5%0%50%
WRChris Moore31%3%0%48%
TEMatthew Hibner41%3%0%45%
WRLaJohntay Wester71%3%0%15%
RBRasheen Ali61%0%2%1%
TEDurham Smythe30%1%0%48%
WRElijah Sarratt10%1%0%36%

Offensive line, 8 players at 86% to 100% snap share: Cam Jurgens, Carson Vinson, Emery Jones Jr., John Simpson, Olaivavega Ioane, Roger Rosengarten, Ronnie Stanley, Jovaughn Gwyn. 27 defensive and 3 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
20.3'9918.9'0124.4'0316.6'0517.2'0724.4'0923.6'1120.0'1320.5'1524.7'1733.2'1922.8'2128.4'2324.9'2524.1'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026728.3242.01.430.3141.71.328.920.3242.01.424.10.3
20251723.9192.81.429.8156.61.424.816.4192.81.424.90.6
20241726.9246.42.432.6187.61.228.118.7246.42.430.50.2
20231728.0228.31.631.8156.51.529.119.3228.31.628.40.4
20221727.4188.41.130.9160.00.828.717.6188.41.120.60.8
20211734.8251.01.230.4145.81.135.923.3251.01.222.81.1
20201624.5182.41.734.7191.91.525.416.1182.41.729.30.7
20191626.5209.42.337.3206.01.327.518.1209.42.333.20.5
20181633.7231.81.134.2152.61.234.820.9231.81.124.30.6
20171635.1202.21.328.8116.00.935.422.7202.21.324.70.8
20161641.6271.41.322.991.40.642.427.4271.41.321.41.0
20151641.8278.11.323.992.40.542.326.6278.11.320.51.3
20141633.8249.11.728.0126.21.034.621.5249.11.725.60.8
20131638.4244.61.226.483.00.438.722.7244.61.220.01.4
20121634.8249.81.427.8118.81.135.020.9249.81.424.90.7
20111633.8226.81.328.7124.80.934.019.6226.81.323.60.8
20101630.7226.81.630.4114.40.730.719.3226.81.622.30.6
20091631.6227.31.329.2137.91.431.920.1227.31.324.40.8
200816—192.81.036.9148.91.327.116.3192.81.024.10.8
200716—206.80.827.9112.30.734.821.3206.80.817.20.9
200616—220.91.329.8102.30.732.820.5220.91.322.10.9
200516—211.31.128.2100.70.335.120.9211.31.116.61.3
200416—159.90.830.7128.90.729.116.1159.90.819.80.7
200316—157.31.034.5166.41.125.913.6157.31.024.41.2
20021629.4194.91.326.7112.00.629.916.4194.91.319.80.9
20011636.0240.91.231.4117.80.837.221.4240.91.218.91.3
20001630.6193.91.331.9137.40.631.517.9193.91.320.81.2
19991630.6198.31.326.0105.90.631.615.8198.31.320.31.1

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026723.938.71.025.05.62.36.90.43.30.90.00.0
20251723.438.21.229.43.91.85.90.64.30.80.10.0
20241721.234.63.624.94.83.17.20.74.80.70.10.0
2024 POST220.528.01.027.03.02.55.50.00.50.00.00.0
20231716.536.26.522.34.53.46.91.15.40.90.10.0
2023 POST213.531.55.028.03.01.06.50.02.51.00.00.0
20221718.536.85.521.14.02.85.60.84.50.80.00.0
2022 POST124.035.03.021.03.04.08.00.02.02.00.00.0
20211723.135.74.421.83.51.95.60.54.20.50.10.0
20201618.939.02.821.33.92.47.30.64.21.60.00.1
2020 POST215.029.56.016.03.01.54.00.53.00.50.00.0
20191617.635.92.616.14.12.36.90.84.40.90.10.0
2019 POST128.037.00.016.03.01.04.00.04.00.00.00.0
20181617.938.72.215.15.32.66.50.85.60.60.00.0
2018 POST123.049.07.017.07.01.08.00.01.01.00.00.0
20171618.945.41.113.45.62.66.31.45.21.00.20.0
20161620.138.91.919.04.41.95.01.14.40.90.00.0
20151625.140.41.417.94.92.35.90.44.10.50.10.0
20141618.940.31.523.34.63.17.40.74.71.00.10.1
2014 POST226.043.52.021.04.03.57.51.53.52.00.00.0
20131622.039.92.623.14.72.55.31.06.10.90.10.0
20121621.542.39.219.15.02.35.40.85.40.60.10.0
2012 POST422.046.84.523.02.32.36.51.58.01.30.30.0
20111616.638.97.015.9—3.05.60.97.01.30.10.0
2011 POST218.037.55.029.0—0.52.52.59.01.50.00.0
20101616.936.612.115.1—1.73.91.25.20.90.20.0
2010 POST219.032.58.021.0—4.57.01.54.02.00.00.0
20091616.341.311.313.6—2.03.81.45.10.90.10.0
2009 POST217.040.016.016.0—2.55.02.04.00.50.00.0
20081615.336.39.612.0—2.15.31.66.50.80.30.1
2008 POST314.046.38.711.3—2.76.31.74.71.70.30.0
20071624.038.511.015.5—2.04.11.15.80.70.10.0
20061612.637.89.812.8—3.86.41.86.90.80.30.1
2006 POST115.039.018.018.0—1.04.02.05.02.00.00.0
20051618.742.88.912.5—2.5—0.84.41.10.10.0
20041616.837.413.816.6—2.4—1.35.11.10.30.0
20031617.644.39.112.6—3.0—1.56.51.40.30.0
2003 POST120.041.022.022.0—0.0—3.07.00.01.00.0
20021622.145.910.314.34.51.91.91.66.60.70.10.0
20011616.644.79.715.65.32.92.91.16.11.40.30.0
2001 POST215.039.58.518.54.02.52.51.04.03.00.00.0
20001610.340.36.48.84.32.21.91.45.81.60.10.1
2000 POST45.840.38.012.54.33.53.02.510.00.80.50.0
19991617.338.98.710.34.42.92.81.26.10.90.30.4

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

3 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Jesse Minter
2025John Harbaugh
2024John Harbaugh
2023John Harbaugh
2022John Harbaugh
2021John Harbaugh
2020John Harbaugh
2019John Harbaugh
2018John Harbaugh
2017John Harbaugh
2016John Harbaugh
2015John Harbaugh
2014John Harbaugh
2013John Harbaugh
2012John Harbaugh
2011John Harbaugh
2010John Harbaugh
2009John Harbaugh
2008John Harbaugh
2007Brian Billick
2006Brian Billick
2005Brian Billick
2004Brian Billick
2003Brian Billick
2002Brian Billick
2001Brian Billick
2000Brian Billick
1999Brian Billick

In the news

486 scheduled · 476 played · 54 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET