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NFLTeamsTb

TB · NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2–5NFC South · 3rd1999–2026 in the record463 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2L
3L
4L
5W
6L
7W
8
9
10B
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8vs Atlanta FalconsLineTB −2.5Total46.5Sunday, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · opposing coach Raheem Morris. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7W 43–13@ Carolina PanthersTB43CAR13Margin +30. Listed line +3; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026+1.6points a gameWidest +30 at Carolina Panthers; narrowest −7 against Minnesota Vikings. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

NFC South, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • ATL38%
  • CAR32%
  • TB22%
  • NO8%

Season path

162 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W1827466276100119162PACE 393
Through week 7162
Per game23.1
17-game pace393
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 10
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13@ Cincinnati BengalsL 27–33 −6LINE +3.5 · O/U 50.5Zac Taylor
WEEK 2Sep 20vs Cleveland BrownsL 19–23 −4LINE −8.5 · O/U 41.5Todd Monken
WEEK 3Sep 27vs Minnesota VikingsL 16–23 −7LINE +1.5 · O/U 42.5Kevin O'Connell
WEEK 4Oct 4vs Green Bay PackersL 14–17 −3LINE +3 · O/U 38.5Matt LaFleur
WEEK 5Oct 8@ Dallas CowboysW 24–16 +8LINE +9.5 · O/U 49.5Brian Schottenheimer
WEEK 6Oct 18vs Pittsburgh SteelersL 19–26 −7LINE +2.5 · O/U 38.5Mike McCarthy
WEEK 7Oct 25@ Carolina PanthersW 43–13 +30LINE +3 · O/U 44.5Dave Canales
WEEK 8Nov 1vs Atlanta FalconsNot yet playedLINE −2.5 · O/U 46.5Raheem Morris
WEEK 9Nov 8@ Chicago BearsNot yet playedBen Johnson
WEEK 10

Bye

WEEK 11Nov 22@ Detroit LionsNot yet playedDan Campbell
WEEK 12Nov 30vs Carolina PanthersNot yet playedDave Canales
WEEK 13Dec 6vs Los Angeles ChargersNot yet playedJim Harbaugh
WEEK 14Dec 13@ Baltimore RavensNot yet playedJesse Minter
WEEK 15Dec 20vs New Orleans SaintsNot yet playedKellen Moore
WEEK 16Dec 27@ Atlanta FalconsNot yet playedRaheem Morris
WEEK 17Jan 3vs Los Angeles RamsNot yet playedSean McVay
WEEK 18Jan 10@ New Orleans SaintsNot yet playedKellen Moore

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

23.1 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game23.12026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game59.32026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play31.6s 30.2s–33.0s
Neutral plays per game38.6 31.8–45.3

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Bucky Irving leads the offense with 35% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 51%WR 32%QB 9%TE 8%
RBBucky Irving735%12%57%64%
WREmeka Egbuka613%25%1%86%
RBKenny Gainwell712%9%16%36%
WRChris Godwin Jr.79%17%1%82%
TECade Otton77%15%0%94%
QBJalon Daniels56%1%10%63%
WRTed Hurst III66%12%0%62%
WRTez Johnson74%8%1%38%
RBSean Tucker34%0%7%10%
QBBaker Mayfield43%0%6%96%
TEPayne Durham20%1%0%47%
WRKameron Johnson70%1%0%3%
TEBauer Sharp60%1%0%9%
WRJalen McMillan10%1%0%3%
WRDavid Sills10%0%0%25%
TEKo Kieft30%0%0%4%
RBJosh Williams10%0%0%0%

Offensive line, 5 players at 97% to 100% snap share: Ben Bredeson, Graham Barton, Luke Goedeke, Tristan Wirfs, Cody Mauch. 24 defensive and 2 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
16.9'9920.3'0118.8'0318.8'0520.9'0715.3'0917.9'1118.0'1321.4'1520.9'1728.6'1930.1'2120.5'2322.4'2523.1'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026728.3168.60.930.0146.41.129.318.3168.60.923.11.0
20251731.8220.91.527.8114.50.832.820.6220.91.522.40.6
20241733.1265.02.428.4149.20.933.624.0265.02.429.50.9
20231732.4237.91.625.888.80.533.421.4237.91.620.50.6
20221742.6279.21.522.776.90.344.229.4279.21.518.40.6
20211742.1316.62.522.698.41.143.028.9316.62.530.10.7
20201637.9298.52.623.194.91.039.125.6298.52.630.80.8
20191637.9320.42.125.695.10.939.423.9320.42.128.61.9
20181638.7334.92.324.395.20.739.125.5334.92.324.81.6
20171637.3287.91.624.390.60.537.823.6287.91.620.90.9
20161635.7260.31.828.3101.00.536.122.2260.31.822.11.1
20151632.8252.61.428.4135.10.833.419.5252.61.421.40.9
20141632.7226.41.322.185.90.433.218.8226.41.317.31.3
20131630.9198.81.426.3100.80.432.118.2198.81.418.00.8
20121634.9259.01.726.0114.80.835.419.4259.01.724.31.1
20111636.3239.91.121.691.10.636.822.8239.91.117.91.5
20101630.4222.81.626.9125.10.630.919.1222.81.621.30.4
20091632.4196.01.125.3101.60.332.817.5196.01.115.31.8
200816—236.81.128.1115.00.835.122.2236.81.122.60.8
200716—223.71.128.1117.00.930.619.8223.71.120.90.5
200616—187.10.925.395.20.433.418.5187.10.913.21.1
200516—198.21.128.6114.10.830.418.9198.21.118.80.9
200416—235.81.524.693.10.632.021.3235.81.518.81.1
200316—246.21.726.3103.00.337.023.1246.91.718.81.4
20021634.3229.11.425.997.30.435.421.8229.11.421.60.6
20011636.4226.30.825.485.71.137.022.6226.30.820.30.8
20001626.4176.51.130.6129.11.127.114.8176.51.124.30.8
19991627.3173.81.131.4111.00.427.916.8173.81.116.91.0

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026721.637.30.426.45.42.35.11.15.70.60.10.0
20251724.236.11.024.14.92.25.30.84.10.70.10.1
20241722.636.14.222.84.82.76.70.43.60.90.00.0
2024 POST123.038.05.035.04.01.04.00.03.00.00.00.0
20231719.136.96.624.14.22.84.90.83.81.10.10.1
2023 POST220.037.05.017.04.02.55.50.04.50.50.00.0
20221721.137.45.622.94.52.66.10.63.50.70.10.0
2022 POST131.043.03.023.03.01.05.00.02.00.00.00.0
20211720.839.83.518.64.32.87.51.05.00.90.10.0
2021 POST222.542.03.019.05.02.09.01.04.52.00.00.0
20201622.240.31.918.85.33.07.30.94.40.90.10.1
2020 POST419.541.01.314.83.82.56.51.87.31.00.00.0
20191628.141.81.716.15.12.97.30.86.01.30.10.0
20181629.044.64.512.64.92.45.80.63.50.80.00.0
20171623.944.25.214.93.61.44.90.83.51.10.10.0
20161623.143.35.111.64.32.45.21.15.41.00.30.0
20151626.141.87.121.14.42.45.40.74.11.20.10.0
20141625.644.47.918.45.32.34.70.94.01.00.20.0
20131624.340.95.816.24.52.25.31.34.60.90.20.1
20121624.642.75.212.45.91.73.91.15.10.70.20.0
20111630.943.94.810.7—1.43.30.93.80.80.20.1
20101619.941.19.112.4—1.63.61.24.60.80.20.0
20091625.044.89.912.3—1.84.91.24.30.60.10.0
20081620.240.38.912.6—1.84.91.44.80.80.20.0
20071616.942.49.212.9—1.94.31.14.41.60.10.0
2007 POST124.036.017.019.0—1.02.00.02.00.00.00.0
20061622.139.614.816.6—1.64.30.74.11.20.20.0
20051617.139.610.514.8—2.2—1.15.01.10.00.1
2005 POST117.028.016.020.0—2.0—1.04.02.00.00.0
20041619.041.710.811.9—2.8—1.05.30.90.10.0
20031616.540.110.714.6—2.2—1.34.71.40.20.0
20021612.339.19.114.13.92.72.21.96.41.10.30.0
2002 POST312.345.75.79.03.03.72.33.010.02.01.30.0
20011617.539.07.515.94.42.62.51.86.30.90.10.0
2001 POST131.038.00.026.05.03.02.01.04.01.00.00.0
20001616.843.57.314.94.83.43.41.65.80.80.30.1
2000 POST121.047.00.028.03.02.03.01.02.00.00.00.0
19991614.734.314.417.33.32.72.31.36.61.10.10.1
1999 POST212.040.510.513.56.51.51.02.06.51.00.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

8 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Todd Bowles
2025Todd Bowles
2024Todd Bowles
2023Todd Bowles
2022Todd Bowles
2021Bruce Arians
2020Bruce Arians
2019Bruce Arians
2018Dirk Koetter
2017Dirk Koetter
2016Dirk Koetter
2015Lovie Smith
2014Lovie Smith
2013Greg Schiano
2012Greg Schiano
2011Raheem Morris
2010Raheem Morris
2009Raheem Morris
2008Jon Gruden
2007Jon Gruden
2006Jon Gruden
2005Jon Gruden
2004Jon Gruden
2003Jon Gruden
2002Jon Gruden
2001Tony Dungy
2000Tony Dungy
1999Tony Dungy

In the news

473 scheduled · 463 played · 48 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET