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NFLTeamsDet

DET · NFC North

Detroit Lions

4–2NFC North · 3rd1999–2026 in the record451 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

6 OF 17 PLAYED
1W
2L
3W
4L
5W
6B
7W
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8vs Minnesota VikingsLineDET −3Total46.5Sunday, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · opposing coach Kevin O'Connell. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7W 20–17vs Green Bay PackersDET20GB17Margin +3. Listed line −3.5; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026+3.2points a gameWidest +24 at Arizona Cardinals; narrowest −10 at Buffalo Bills. Eleven games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

NFC North, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • MIN80%
  • DET10%
  • CHI9%
  • GB<2%

Season path

184 points for through week 7 of 2026: 6 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0200400600W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18316293119164184PACE 521
Through week 7184
Per game30.7
17-game pace521
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 6
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

6 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13vs New Orleans SaintsW 31–30 +1LINE −7 · O/U 49.5Kellen Moore
WEEK 2Sep 17@ Buffalo BillsL 31–41 −10LINE +5.5 · O/U 54.5Sean McDermott
WEEK 3Sep 27vs New York JetsW 31–24 +7LINE −7 · O/U 49.5Aaron Glenn
WEEK 4Oct 4@ Carolina PanthersL 26–32 −6LINE −4.5 · O/U 52.5Dave Canales
WEEK 5Oct 11@ Arizona CardinalsW 45–21 +24LINE −5.5 · O/U 55.5Jonathan Gannon
WEEK 6

Bye

WEEK 7Oct 25vs Green Bay PackersW 20–17 +3LINE −3.5 · O/U 55.5Matt LaFleur
WEEK 8Nov 1vs Minnesota VikingsNot yet playedLINE −3 · O/U 46.5Kevin O'Connell
WEEK 9Nov 8@ Miami DolphinsNot yet playedJeff Hafley
WEEK 10Nov 15vs New England PatriotsNot yet playedMike Vrabel
WEEK 11Nov 22vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersNot yet playedTodd Bowles
WEEK 12Nov 26vs Chicago BearsNot yet playedBen Johnson
WEEK 13Dec 6@ Atlanta FalconsNot yet playedRaheem Morris
WEEK 14Dec 13vs Tennessee TitansNot yet playedRobert Saleh
WEEK 15Dec 20@ Minnesota VikingsNot yet playedKevin O'Connell
WEEK 16Dec 28vs New York GiantsNot yet playedJohn Harbaugh
WEEK 17Jan 3@ Chicago BearsNot yet playedBen Johnson
WEEK 18Jan 10@ Green Bay PackersNot yet playedMatt LaFleur

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

30.7 points a game in 2026, over 6 games.

Points / game30.72026 · 6 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game64.32026 · 6 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play30.5s 28.8s–32.2s
Neutral plays per game34.6 29.4–40.1

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Jahmyr Gibbs leads the offense with 46% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 51%WR 34%TE 12%QB 3%
RBJahmyr Gibbs646%18%82%79%
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown618%31%1%87%
TESam LaPorta610%18%0%89%
WRJameson Williams610%17%0%89%
WRIsaac TeSlaa65%10%0%60%
RBSione Vaki65%2%10%24%
QBJared Goff63%0%7%99%
TEBrock Wright52%3%0%47%
TEJackson Meeks10%0%0%15%
TETyler Conklin10%0%0%12%
WRTay Martin40%0%0%1%
RBJacob Saylors60%0%0%1%
WRTom Kennedy50%0%0%0%
WRDeAndre Carter10%0%0%0%

Offensive line, 7 players at 86% to 100% snap share: Blake Miller, Christian Mahogany, Larry Borom, Penei Sewell, Juice Scruggs, Tate Ratledge, Ben Bartch. 28 defensive and 2 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SIX GAMES
20.1'9916.9'0116.9'0315.9'0521.6'0716.4'0929.6'1124.7'1322.4'1525.6'1721.3'1919.1'2127.1'2328.3'2530.7'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026636.5298.02.327.2115.01.337.225.0298.02.330.70.0
20251732.4268.62.126.0120.11.234.223.2268.62.128.30.5
20241730.7277.52.331.4146.41.732.423.5277.52.333.20.7
20231733.8270.91.829.4135.91.635.624.0270.91.827.10.7
20221733.1261.41.728.2128.21.434.622.5261.41.726.60.4
20211733.2228.51.425.1110.90.734.923.3228.51.419.10.8
20201635.1274.81.722.993.71.136.423.4274.81.723.60.8
20191634.4261.71.825.4103.10.435.721.5261.71.821.30.9
20181635.1240.31.425.3103.80.735.923.4240.31.420.30.8
20171635.3279.41.822.776.30.635.623.4279.41.825.60.7
20161636.3270.41.521.981.90.637.124.3270.41.521.60.6
20151638.9278.92.122.183.40.439.526.3278.92.122.40.9
20141636.9267.81.424.888.90.737.822.8267.81.420.10.8
20131638.9290.61.827.8112.00.939.623.2290.61.824.71.2
20121645.6321.21.424.4100.81.146.327.8321.21.423.31.1
20111641.8320.82.622.595.90.642.326.9320.82.629.61.0
20101638.9250.11.625.3100.80.739.623.9250.11.622.61.0
20091635.8216.91.025.6101.00.636.619.8216.91.016.42.0
200816—206.21.122.082.70.631.817.6206.21.116.81.2
200716—263.41.220.480.50.836.823.0263.41.221.61.4
200616—263.01.319.070.60.637.323.3263.01.319.11.4
200516—188.80.925.391.90.632.618.6188.80.915.91.1
200416—195.31.225.5111.10.431.617.8195.31.218.50.8
200316—186.81.123.484.40.336.819.9186.81.116.91.5
20021634.9198.01.222.492.30.636.117.3198.01.219.11.6
20011636.6248.11.121.987.40.538.121.4248.11.116.91.5
20001630.7187.00.928.0109.20.931.417.3187.00.919.21.2
19991633.9254.61.422.377.80.534.820.4254.61.420.10.9

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026627.542.70.328.75.03.58.80.74.80.70.00.0
20251724.336.80.627.53.92.86.00.85.50.90.00.1
20241720.133.83.620.34.12.26.50.94.80.80.10.0
2024 POST145.050.02.018.06.00.02.00.02.01.00.00.0
20231723.235.35.320.24.02.46.80.94.60.80.10.0
2023 POST326.730.75.721.03.32.77.01.04.30.30.00.0
20221725.137.07.621.03.52.35.90.73.60.80.10.0
20211727.537.65.525.33.01.83.70.64.00.60.00.0
20201632.441.63.622.13.31.53.50.43.20.90.00.1
20191626.443.93.618.02.61.84.40.44.61.00.00.0
20181622.540.82.813.14.12.74.80.43.00.60.10.0
20171623.543.92.915.14.82.25.91.24.91.00.20.0
20161622.442.43.314.23.41.64.30.63.90.50.10.1
2016 POST126.037.00.044.05.03.09.00.01.00.00.00.0
20151625.045.92.313.45.92.76.50.63.91.10.10.0
20141617.642.51.112.66.32.67.41.34.70.70.10.1
2014 POST124.043.01.05.06.06.010.00.01.03.00.00.0
20131623.540.41.615.04.52.15.60.95.50.70.10.1
20121627.343.62.814.95.42.16.30.73.80.70.00.1
20111624.246.61.714.7—2.64.71.34.71.10.30.0
2011 POST145.055.00.028.0—2.04.00.06.02.00.00.0
20101623.143.96.217.0—2.65.40.94.11.30.10.0
20091630.944.94.418.8—1.63.50.64.41.10.10.1
20081632.343.77.218.7—1.83.10.32.91.40.00.0
20071627.847.26.217.3—2.34.81.13.81.50.20.1
20061624.945.17.117.4—1.73.30.83.61.10.10.1
20051621.645.45.015.9—1.8—1.24.41.30.10.1
20041621.946.06.116.6—2.4—0.95.01.10.10.1
20031623.745.55.412.6—1.7—0.94.11.10.10.0
20021628.248.25.917.73.82.11.80.66.01.20.10.0
20011626.540.97.316.64.31.91.81.04.50.50.20.0
20001619.239.57.620.63.31.81.61.66.01.50.10.0
19991620.242.17.415.44.23.12.81.05.51.60.10.0
1999 POST127.058.04.04.04.01.01.02.07.01.00.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

9 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Dan Campbell
2025Dan Campbell
2024Dan Campbell
2023Dan Campbell
2022Dan Campbell
2021Dan Campbell
2020Matt Patricia
2019Matt Patricia
2018Matt Patricia
2017Jim Caldwell
2016Jim Caldwell
2015Jim Caldwell
2014Jim Caldwell
2013Jim Schwartz
2012Jim Schwartz
2011Jim Schwartz
2010Jim Schwartz
2009Jim Schwartz
2008Rod Marinelli
2007Rod Marinelli
2006Rod Marinelli
2005Steve Mariucci
2004Steve Mariucci
2003Steve Mariucci
2002Marty Mornhinweg
2001Marty Mornhinweg
2000Gary Moeller
1999Bobby Ross

In the news

462 scheduled · 451 played · 51 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET