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NFLTeamsNe

NE · AFC East

New England Patriots

4–3AFC East · 2nd1999–2026 in the record490 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2W
3L
4W
5W
6W
7L
8
9
10
11B
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8@ Miami DolphinsLineNE −7.5Total44.5Sunday, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · opposing coach Jeff Hafley. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7L 24–30@ Chicago BearsNE24CHI30Margin −6. Listed line +3; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026+2.4points a gameWidest +28 against Las Vegas Raiders; narrowest −29 at Jacksonville Jaguars. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

AFC East, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • BUF76%
  • NE24%
  • MIA<2%
  • NYJ<2%

Season path

160 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W1810303665110136160PACE 389
Through week 7160
Per game22.9
17-game pace389
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 11
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 9@ Seattle SeahawksL 10–13 −3LINE +3 · O/U 44.5Mike Macdonald
WEEK 2Sep 20vs Pittsburgh SteelersW 20–3 +17LINE −4.5 · O/U 41.5Mike McCarthy
WEEK 3Sep 27@ Jacksonville JaguarsL 6–35 −29LINE +3 · O/U 46.5Liam Coen
WEEK 4Oct 4@ Buffalo BillsW 29–26 +3LINE +7 · O/U 49.5Sean McDermott
WEEK 5Oct 11vs Las Vegas RaidersW 45–17 +28LINE −3.5 · O/U 45.5Klint Kubliak
WEEK 6Oct 18vs New York JetsW 26–19 +7LINE −7.5 · O/U 43.5Aaron Glenn
WEEK 7Oct 22@ Chicago BearsL 24–30 −6LINE +3 · O/U 50.5Ben Johnson
WEEK 8Nov 1@ Miami DolphinsNot yet playedLINE −7.5 · O/U 44.5Jeff Hafley
WEEK 9Nov 8vs Green Bay PackersNot yet playedMatt LaFleur
WEEK 10Nov 15@ Detroit LionsNot yet playedDan Campbell
WEEK 11

Bye

WEEK 12Nov 29@ Los Angeles ChargersNot yet playedJim Harbaugh
WEEK 13Dec 6vs Buffalo BillsNot yet playedSean McDermott
WEEK 14Dec 10vs Minnesota VikingsNot yet playedKevin O'Connell
WEEK 15Dec 21@ Kansas City ChiefsNot yet playedAndy Reid
WEEK 16Dec 27@ New York JetsNot yet playedAaron Glenn
WEEK 17Jan 3vs Denver BroncosNot yet playedSean Payton
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Miami DolphinsNot yet playedJeff Hafley

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

22.9 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game22.92026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game60.62026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play30.9s 29.3s–32.5s
Neutral plays per game33.4 26.9–39.9

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Rhamondre Stevenson leads the offense with 24% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 49%WR 31%TE 11%QB 9%
RBRhamondre Stevenson724%11%38%63%
RBTreVeyon Henderson614%3%25%33%
QBDrake Maye79%0%19%97%
RBCorey Kiner79%1%17%12%
WRDeMario Douglas78%16%0%55%
TEHunter Henry78%15%0%74%
WRRomeo Doubs66%11%0%58%
WRA.J. Brown35%10%0%70%
WRMack Hollins45%10%0%65%
TEEli Raridon64%8%0%50%
WREfton Chism III64%7%0%48%
WRKyle Williams73%6%0%30%
RBReggie Gilliam10%1%0%36%
RBLan Larison10%1%0%4%
QBTommy DeVito10%0%0%19%
TETanner Arkin10%0%0%20%
TECameron Latu50%0%0%15%

Offensive line, 7 players at 92% to 100% snap share: Alijah Vera-Tucker, Ben Brown, Jared Wilson, Matt Pryor, Walter Rouse, Will Campbell, Morgan Moses. 32 defensive and 2 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
18.7'9923.2'0121.8'0323.7'0536.8'0726.7'0932.1'1127.8'1329.1'1528.6'1726.3'1927.2'2113.9'2328.8'2522.9'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026729.9261.41.929.1122.00.731.420.7261.41.922.91.1
20251728.4262.31.829.1128.91.329.521.2262.31.828.80.5
20241729.4196.61.126.2115.80.631.120.1196.61.117.00.6
20231731.8199.50.924.495.70.532.820.6199.50.913.91.2
20221730.5224.41.125.0106.60.731.821.1224.41.121.40.8
20211730.8241.11.428.8126.51.431.521.4241.11.427.20.8
20201626.3195.30.831.4146.61.327.517.7195.30.820.40.9
20191636.7259.61.627.9106.41.138.823.6259.61.626.30.6
20181634.8275.31.829.9127.31.135.923.6275.31.827.30.7
20171636.5288.72.028.0118.11.036.724.3288.72.028.60.5
20161634.1278.52.030.1117.01.234.423.0278.52.027.60.1
20151639.0300.82.323.987.80.939.325.3300.82.329.10.4
20141637.6268.22.127.4107.90.838.124.5268.22.129.30.6
20131638.6271.41.629.4129.11.239.323.8271.41.627.80.7
20121639.6302.82.132.7136.51.640.125.1302.82.134.80.6
20111638.1328.62.427.4110.31.138.325.1328.62.432.10.8
20101631.4251.42.328.4123.31.231.720.7251.42.332.40.3
20091636.8283.81.829.1120.11.237.024.4283.81.826.70.8
200816—236.91.332.2142.41.333.521.3236.91.325.60.7
200716—303.73.128.2115.61.136.625.2303.73.136.80.6
200616—224.61.631.1122.91.333.020.4224.61.624.10.8
200516—270.11.827.494.51.035.322.0270.11.823.70.9
200416—234.31.832.8133.40.930.318.3234.31.827.30.9
200316—228.21.429.6100.40.633.620.0228.21.421.80.8
20021636.9235.41.824.794.30.637.823.4235.41.823.80.9
20011629.7207.91.329.6112.10.930.119.1207.91.323.20.9
20001634.4216.31.126.586.90.635.320.5216.31.117.30.9
19991632.4249.11.226.689.10.633.619.1249.11.218.71.3

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026720.437.10.725.94.42.46.10.63.60.70.00.0
20251718.834.21.628.55.12.05.20.63.90.60.10.0
2025 POST413.838.30.526.55.83.38.31.37.31.00.30.0
20241724.534.35.328.93.71.63.90.44.30.80.00.0
20231721.536.86.924.83.82.14.60.63.90.90.00.1
20221720.435.17.726.63.63.15.51.14.10.80.30.0
20211717.834.18.423.62.92.15.11.45.20.60.20.0
2021 POST147.032.08.016.00.00.01.00.01.00.00.00.0
20201622.135.87.721.82.41.54.11.13.30.30.10.0
20191614.134.17.317.13.12.96.41.65.60.90.20.0
2019 POST120.038.011.017.03.01.05.01.04.01.00.00.0
20181620.337.51.822.33.21.96.31.14.20.90.10.0
2018 POST320.733.01.011.74.73.39.30.76.00.70.00.0
20171618.541.46.314.13.92.65.80.84.20.60.00.1
2017 POST325.036.312.020.04.73.77.30.35.00.30.00.0
20161615.637.61.422.93.12.14.60.84.51.00.00.1
2016 POST320.336.01.025.03.02.76.31.34.70.70.00.0
20151619.739.64.319.14.43.15.90.85.31.40.00.0
2015 POST220.044.00.523.56.02.04.50.05.50.50.00.0
20141619.639.33.820.34.12.55.11.04.10.90.00.0
2014 POST320.737.70.714.71.71.04.31.75.30.30.00.0
20131621.139.41.526.64.12.96.01.14.90.70.10.0
2013 POST224.040.00.019.03.51.55.02.03.50.00.00.0
20121620.741.71.319.94.42.34.41.34.91.90.10.0
2012 POST228.044.00.026.03.51.04.00.52.51.00.00.0
20111621.439.95.123.9—2.56.21.43.90.60.10.0
2011 POST317.042.00.034.0—3.77.00.34.31.70.00.0
20101619.637.415.318.4—2.34.11.65.00.70.30.0
2010 POST128.035.010.010.0—0.00.00.02.00.00.00.0
20091617.830.317.818.7—1.94.11.14.31.20.20.0
2009 POST133.025.031.031.0—0.00.01.02.00.00.00.0
20081619.331.516.818.2—1.83.80.93.60.90.00.0
20071617.133.513.815.6—2.85.31.24.71.10.20.0
2007 POST316.328.020.721.3—1.76.31.35.31.00.00.0
20061614.830.616.620.6—2.76.11.44.40.80.00.1
2006 POST325.043.313.013.0—3.07.01.08.01.70.70.0
20051621.134.614.418.4—1.9—0.74.30.40.10.0
2005 POST215.041.09.511.5—4.0—1.04.51.00.50.0
20041616.335.716.018.0—2.9—1.34.61.40.10.0
2004 POST317.040.79.316.0—2.0—2.36.02.00.30.0
20031614.933.917.620.8—2.5—1.87.61.20.30.1
2003 POST319.028.318.319.0—3.7—1.76.30.70.00.0
20021621.634.517.021.03.12.12.31.14.90.90.20.0
20011617.034.914.918.43.72.42.41.45.40.80.30.0
2001 POST315.733.316.718.73.32.32.71.78.00.30.30.0
20001621.136.116.920.72.81.81.70.64.31.10.00.0
19991617.835.116.520.34.52.62.81.03.41.10.10.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

4 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Mike Vrabel
2025Mike Vrabel
2024Jerod Mayo
2023Bill Belichick
2022Bill Belichick
2021Bill Belichick
2020Bill Belichick
2019Bill Belichick
2018Bill Belichick
2017Bill Belichick
2016Bill Belichick
2015Bill Belichick
2014Bill Belichick
2013Bill Belichick
2012Bill Belichick
2011Bill Belichick
2010Bill Belichick
2009Bill Belichick
2008Bill Belichick
2007Bill Belichick
2006Bill Belichick
2005Bill Belichick
2004Bill Belichick
2003Bill Belichick
2002Bill Belichick
2001Bill Belichick
2000Bill Belichick
1999Pete Carroll

In the news

500 scheduled · 490 played · 58 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET