calibrated SPORTS
NFLTeamsNo

NO · NFC South

New Orleans Saints

2–5NFC South · 4th1999–2026 in the record463 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2W
3L
4L
5L
6W
7L
8B
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 9vs Cleveland BrownsLine—Total—Sunday, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET · opposing coach Todd Monken.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7L 10–16vs Pittsburgh SteelersNO10PIT16Margin −6. Listed line +3; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026−4.6points a gameWidest +7 at Baltimore Ravens; narrowest −21 against Atlanta Falcons. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

NFC South, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • ATL38%
  • CAR32%
  • TB22%
  • NO8%

Season path

162 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18305481105118152162PACE 393
Through week 7162
Per game23.1
17-game pace393
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 8
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13@ Detroit LionsL 30–31 −1LINE +7 · O/U 49.5Dan Campbell
WEEK 2Sep 20@ Baltimore RavensW 24–17 +7LINE +8.5 · O/U 45.5Jesse Minter
WEEK 3Sep 27vs Las Vegas RaidersL 27–35 −8LINE −3.5 · O/U 43.5Klint Kubliak
WEEK 4Oct 5vs Atlanta FalconsL 24–45 −21LINE −1.5 · O/U 47.5Raheem Morris
WEEK 5Oct 11vs Minnesota VikingsL 13–23 −10LINE +2.5 · O/U 41.5Kevin O'Connell
WEEK 6Oct 18@ New York GiantsW 34–27 +7LINE −1.5 · O/U 46.5John Harbaugh
WEEK 7Oct 25vs Pittsburgh SteelersL 10–16 −6LINE +3 · O/U 43.5Mike McCarthy
WEEK 8

Bye

WEEK 9Nov 8vs Cleveland BrownsNot yet playedTodd Monken
WEEK 10Nov 15vs Carolina PanthersNot yet playedDave Canales
WEEK 11Nov 22@ Chicago BearsNot yet playedBen Johnson
WEEK 12Nov 29@ Cincinnati BengalsNot yet playedZac Taylor
WEEK 13Dec 6vs Green Bay PackersNot yet playedMatt LaFleur
WEEK 14Dec 13@ Carolina PanthersNot yet playedDave Canales
WEEK 15Dec 20@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersNot yet playedTodd Bowles
WEEK 16Dec 27vs Arizona CardinalsNot yet playedJonathan Gannon
WEEK 17Jan 3@ Atlanta FalconsNot yet playedRaheem Morris
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersNot yet playedTodd Bowles

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

23.1 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game23.12026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game63.42026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play27.8s 26.5s–29.1s
Neutral plays per game35.4 28.1–42.2

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Chris Olave leads the offense with 16% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 47%WR 34%TE 13%QB 6%
WRChris Olave716%27%0%81%
RBKendre Miller616%5%33%31%
RBAlvin Kamara616%10%24%35%
WRDevaughn Vele711%18%0%92%
RBTravis Etienne310%5%18%50%
TEJuwan Johnson79%14%0%65%
QBTyler Shough76%0%14%100%
RBCJ Donaldson65%2%10%29%
WRBryce Lance75%8%0%68%
TENoah Fant64%6%0%52%
WRBarion Brown61%2%1%10%
TEOscar Delp51%2%0%31%
TETreyton Welch20%0%0%10%
WRKevin Austin Jr.10%0%0%7%
WRJalen Cropper10%0%0%0%

Offensive line, 6 players at 59% to 100% snap share: Cesar Ruiz, David Edwards, Jeremiah Wright, Taliese Fuaga, Asim Richards, Kelvin Banks Jr.. 30 defensive and 3 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
16.3'9920.8'0121.3'0314.7'0523.7'0731.9'0934.2'1125.9'1325.5'1528.0'1728.6'1921.4'2123.6'2318.0'2523.1'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026737.6245.91.924.486.00.939.026.1245.91.923.10.9
20251733.2236.91.125.694.30.534.823.4236.91.118.00.7
20241730.4219.41.226.1114.90.932.420.0219.41.219.90.7
20231734.1248.51.628.2102.50.835.623.9248.51.623.60.6
20221729.0233.51.427.4116.60.730.119.9233.51.419.40.8
20211727.9202.21.730.0117.10.729.617.2202.21.721.40.8
20201631.8246.61.830.9141.61.932.623.1246.61.830.10.5
20191634.9276.92.325.3108.60.836.326.1276.92.328.60.4
20181631.9260.92.129.4126.61.632.423.8260.92.131.50.4
20171633.1270.91.427.8129.41.433.524.1270.91.428.00.5
20161641.5328.62.425.3108.91.142.129.5328.62.429.30.9
20151641.4325.32.024.893.21.041.728.8325.32.025.50.8
20141640.6309.52.125.4113.61.041.228.5309.52.125.11.1
20131640.3322.62.424.492.10.640.727.9322.62.425.90.8
20121640.9324.22.723.198.60.641.926.4324.22.728.81.2
20111641.3347.82.927.2134.61.141.629.7347.82.934.20.9
20101640.6289.82.123.894.90.641.328.1289.82.124.01.4
20091633.7280.62.129.2132.21.334.023.6280.62.131.90.8
200816—316.82.124.999.61.339.825.8316.82.128.91.1
200716—276.81.824.491.30.940.927.7276.81.823.71.1
200616—289.51.729.4109.91.336.323.3289.51.725.80.8
200516—225.30.926.4105.50.534.619.3225.30.914.71.5
200416—238.11.325.3102.00.933.919.3238.11.321.81.0
200316—227.61.627.9125.50.733.419.6227.61.621.30.5
20021632.5230.31.726.6110.31.033.618.2230.31.727.00.9
20011633.9240.31.726.2107.00.535.119.6240.31.720.81.4
20001630.2223.31.431.6129.30.931.118.6223.31.422.10.9
19991633.5224.91.028.8105.60.634.518.0224.91.016.31.9

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026727.737.00.334.03.92.65.40.63.61.10.00.0
20251722.536.71.329.55.32.64.90.64.60.60.10.0
20241723.439.53.226.64.52.34.90.85.50.70.00.0
20231719.232.85.624.73.62.04.51.15.80.50.10.0
20221720.336.85.223.93.72.85.10.43.90.80.10.0
20211719.738.83.322.14.52.76.61.14.80.80.10.0
20201621.138.10.917.44.62.87.11.15.30.40.10.0
2020 POST219.539.00.013.01.01.03.00.05.00.00.00.0
20191621.339.51.814.94.83.16.90.84.90.70.10.0
2019 POST126.047.01.029.07.03.05.00.07.01.00.00.0
20181622.140.62.816.05.13.16.10.84.31.20.10.0
2018 POST220.031.06.518.52.50.55.01.54.00.00.00.0
20171620.442.11.015.94.82.65.11.36.41.10.10.0
2017 POST227.542.00.026.04.03.07.00.56.00.50.00.0
20161628.441.63.616.13.51.96.60.64.20.70.00.1
20151629.841.42.118.63.41.94.00.64.31.10.00.0
20141626.543.81.416.43.92.14.30.83.60.70.00.1
20131619.038.31.018.14.73.15.90.84.30.80.00.0
2013 POST223.536.03.517.52.52.52.50.01.50.00.00.0
20121628.443.41.520.53.61.95.10.95.60.70.30.0
20111621.239.81.415.4—2.15.30.65.71.10.10.0
2011 POST232.042.02.57.5—2.06.01.05.51.00.00.0
20101619.240.39.513.6—2.14.40.64.31.60.10.0
2010 POST141.034.013.015.0—2.04.01.04.00.00.00.0
20091621.342.111.113.1—2.35.11.65.40.90.30.0
2009 POST319.744.78.09.3—0.34.01.36.31.70.30.0
20081624.641.99.812.6—1.83.80.95.80.60.00.1
20071624.341.39.611.4—2.04.10.84.61.10.20.1
20061620.136.312.414.4—2.45.60.74.30.90.00.0
2006 POST231.538.010.510.5—0.56.50.03.00.50.00.0
20051624.938.612.514.6—1.6—0.64.10.60.00.0
20041625.345.411.113.4—2.3—0.84.31.50.00.1
20031620.442.98.911.4—1.9—0.96.41.30.10.0
20021624.344.89.614.14.52.42.21.36.71.30.10.0
20011625.639.811.613.34.63.33.00.94.01.30.00.0
20001619.137.812.914.44.94.13.61.34.61.10.30.0
2000 POST231.035.510.012.04.01.00.51.55.01.00.00.0
19991627.139.711.112.73.82.82.61.26.41.20.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

6 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Kellen Moore
2025Kellen Moore
2024Dennis Allen
2023Dennis Allen
2022Dennis Allen
2021Sean Payton
2020Sean Payton
2019Sean Payton
2018Sean Payton
2017Sean Payton
2016Sean Payton
2015Sean Payton
2014Sean Payton
2013Sean Payton
2012Joe Vitt
2011Sean Payton
2010Sean Payton
2009Sean Payton
2008Sean Payton
2007Sean Payton
2006Sean Payton
2005Jim Haslett
2004Jim Haslett
2003Jim Haslett
2002Jim Haslett
2001Jim Haslett
2000Jim Haslett
1999Mike Ditka

In the news

473 scheduled · 463 played · 54 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET