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IND · AFC South

Indianapolis Colts

2–5AFC South · 2nd1999–2026 in the record472 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

7 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2L
3W
4W
5L
6L
7L
8
9
10
11
12
13B
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossNot yet playedBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 8@ Jacksonville JaguarsLineIND +7.5Total46.5Sunday, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · opposing coach Liam Coen. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 7L 10–16@ Minnesota VikingsIND10MIN16Margin −6. Listed line +6.5; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026−3.7points a gameWidest +17 at Washington Commanders; narrowest −18 against Baltimore Ravens. Ten games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

AFC South, week 7 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • JAX91%
  • HOU7%
  • IND2%
  • TEN<2%

Season path

154 points for through week 7 of 2026: 7 of 17 games, every week drawn.

0100200300400W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18235372102124144154PACE 374
Through week 7154
Per game22.0
17-game pace374
PlayedPace: the 2026 average carried forward. Arithmetic, not a forecast.Not yet playedBye, week 13
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

The dashed line is the pace: the season's average per game so far, times each game still on the schedule, stepped at that game's own week. It assumes nothing but that the rest of the season looks like the part already played (arithmetic, not a forecast), and it moves only when a result lands. Wins are not carried forward this way: the win rate so far, times the games left, draws every unbeaten team winning out.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

7 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13vs Baltimore RavensL 23–41 −18LINE +3 · O/U 48.5Jesse Minter
WEEK 2Sep 20@ Kansas City ChiefsL 30–33 −3LINE +6 · O/U 46.5Andy Reid
WEEK 3Sep 27vs Houston TexansW 19–17 +2LINE +1.5 · O/U 41.5DeMeco Ryans
WEEK 4Oct 4@ Washington CommandersW 30–13 +17LINE −4.5 · O/U 46.5Dan Quinn
WEEK 5Oct 11@ Pittsburgh SteelersL 22–34 −12LINE +3 · O/U 41.5Mike McCarthy
WEEK 6Oct 18vs Tennessee TitansL 20–26 −6LINE −6.5 · O/U 43.5Robert Saleh
WEEK 7Oct 25@ Minnesota VikingsL 10–16 −6LINE +6.5 · O/U 41.5Kevin O'Connell
WEEK 8Nov 1@ Jacksonville JaguarsNot yet playedLINE +7.5 · O/U 46.5Liam Coen
WEEK 9Nov 8vs Dallas CowboysNot yet playedBrian Schottenheimer
WEEK 10Nov 15vs Miami DolphinsNot yet playedJeff Hafley
WEEK 11Nov 19@ Houston TexansNot yet playedDeMeco Ryans
WEEK 12Nov 29vs New York GiantsNot yet playedJohn Harbaugh
WEEK 13

Bye

WEEK 14Dec 13@ Philadelphia EaglesNot yet playedNick Sirianni
WEEK 15Dec 20@ Tennessee TitansNot yet playedRobert Saleh
WEEK 16Dec 27vs Cincinnati BengalsNot yet playedZac Taylor
WEEK 17Jan 3@ Cleveland BrownsNot yet playedTodd Monken
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Jacksonville JaguarsNot yet playedLiam Coen

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

22.0 points a game in 2026, over 7 games.

Points / game22.02026 · 7 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game62.92026 · 7 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play30.4s 29.0s–31.8s
Neutral plays per game36.6 29.8–43.4

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Jonathan Taylor leads the offense with 39% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 48%WR 33%TE 14%QB 5%
RBJonathan Taylor739%12%70%80%
WRJosh Downs711%20%1%82%
WRKeenan Allen610%19%0%59%
TETyler Warren59%16%2%91%
RBSeth McGowan79%2%16%21%
WRLaquon Treadwell76%12%0%74%
QBDaniel Jones75%0%11%100%
WRDeion Burks52%3%2%13%
TEWill Mallory22%4%0%43%
WRAlec Pierce22%3%0%43%
WRAshton Dulin32%3%0%19%
TEMo Alie-Cox41%3%0%45%
TEAndrew Ogletree51%2%0%31%
WRNick Westbrook-Ikhine20%0%0%14%
TEPharaoh Brown10%0%0%5%
WRAnthony Gould50%0%0%0%

Offensive line, 3 players at 100% snap share: Matt Goncalves, Quenton Nelson, Tanor Bortolini. 27 defensive and 3 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS SEVEN GAMES
26.4'9925.8'0127.9'0327.4'0528.1'0726.0'0915.2'1124.4'1320.8'1516.4'1722.6'1926.5'2123.3'2327.4'2522.0'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026732.1199.70.628.6117.61.434.320.4199.70.622.01.0
20251731.2240.31.526.0118.11.632.221.2240.31.527.40.8
20241728.9211.71.229.2137.11.230.217.0211.71.222.21.1
20231732.1228.41.128.2121.11.133.820.9228.41.123.30.6
20221734.1226.71.025.8109.80.535.523.4226.81.017.01.2
20211729.5211.11.629.4149.41.330.619.1211.11.626.50.5
20201633.4261.61.528.7124.81.334.523.2261.61.528.20.7
20191630.5207.11.429.4133.11.132.119.2207.11.422.60.6
20181639.6287.22.425.5107.40.840.327.0287.22.427.10.9
20171629.5201.60.828.2103.80.730.417.8201.60.816.40.6
20161635.8280.72.025.6101.80.836.523.1280.72.025.70.9
20151637.8245.51.624.889.90.438.722.2245.51.620.81.2
20141640.4316.42.625.9100.80.641.325.6316.42.628.61.0
20131636.1247.01.425.6108.90.936.421.9247.01.424.40.6
20121638.6273.41.427.5104.40.739.321.2273.41.422.31.1
20111632.8201.40.923.999.60.533.418.9201.40.915.20.9
20101642.4293.82.124.692.70.842.428.1293.82.127.21.1
20091637.6287.82.122.980.91.037.625.1287.82.126.01.2
200816—261.31.723.179.60.836.624.6261.31.723.60.8
200716—260.82.027.9106.61.234.422.2260.82.028.10.9
200616—274.81.927.4110.11.134.822.6274.81.926.70.6
200516—261.91.929.1106.41.132.321.8261.91.927.40.7
200416—295.83.226.7115.80.632.922.1295.83.232.60.6
200316—268.11.828.1106.11.035.623.8268.11.827.90.6
20021638.9276.81.829.1104.90.839.125.9276.81.821.81.3
20011633.9264.21.727.4122.91.034.821.8264.21.725.81.4
20001634.9275.82.127.2116.20.935.722.3275.82.126.80.9
19991633.6261.41.626.2103.80.934.121.1261.41.626.41.1

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026725.732.90.632.92.41.94.70.34.70.60.00.0
20251724.240.11.129.35.02.35.80.84.60.60.10.0
20241725.136.97.529.35.22.14.90.93.41.10.00.0
20231724.438.88.123.94.53.06.40.94.11.00.20.1
20221725.139.16.223.74.72.65.30.63.60.80.10.0
20211721.537.27.919.83.21.95.11.14.11.10.00.0
20201622.639.96.616.14.02.55.10.94.90.90.30.2
2020 POST127.035.07.017.01.02.06.00.02.01.00.00.0
20191623.338.77.317.93.92.65.10.93.10.90.10.1
20181621.539.37.620.84.52.44.80.93.80.90.00.0
2018 POST219.043.53.525.56.03.57.50.53.51.00.00.0
20171625.340.31.220.94.11.64.60.84.30.70.10.1
20161624.543.50.715.83.12.15.10.53.80.90.00.0
20151625.540.81.920.54.52.25.31.14.80.80.30.1
20141623.141.02.117.14.62.55.40.84.71.30.10.0
2014 POST322.739.30.329.02.72.03.70.36.01.00.00.0
20131621.042.41.919.13.62.65.10.94.81.20.10.1
2013 POST243.545.00.039.04.02.04.50.04.01.00.00.0
20121624.242.80.317.04.02.04.30.84.10.40.30.0
2012 POST124.034.012.012.01.01.02.00.05.02.00.00.0
20111626.941.03.131.8—1.83.80.53.00.90.10.0
20101624.339.513.218.2—1.84.10.63.40.80.10.0
2010 POST117.044.016.016.0—1.05.01.02.01.00.00.0
20091619.242.415.616.8—2.14.71.04.40.90.10.0
2009 POST317.034.713.314.0—0.72.71.03.71.00.00.0
20081618.640.814.517.4—1.93.40.93.21.40.10.0
2008 POST123.043.017.017.0—4.06.01.05.01.00.00.0
20071616.439.913.815.8—1.73.31.44.01.20.10.1
2007 POST128.031.016.016.0—0.01.01.04.01.00.00.0
20061622.537.816.518.3—1.53.20.93.91.30.00.0
2006 POST416.334.012.515.0—2.04.31.84.01.50.30.0
20051615.439.814.317.5—2.8—1.14.51.70.10.0
2005 POST121.036.022.022.0—2.0—1.06.01.00.00.0
20041621.943.114.016.0—2.8—1.24.31.60.20.0
2004 POST222.031.527.027.0—3.0—0.54.00.50.00.0
20031621.036.514.317.3—1.9—0.94.41.50.10.0
2003 POST321.737.317.717.7—0.7—1.04.31.30.00.0
20021619.643.410.314.93.92.31.50.64.81.60.40.0
2002 POST141.043.016.016.03.02.02.00.00.00.00.00.0
20011630.439.415.116.93.62.52.40.94.20.70.10.0
20001620.438.814.817.33.92.62.30.94.00.60.10.2
2000 POST123.052.00.038.02.02.04.03.010.00.00.00.0
19991620.838.414.216.33.82.62.20.65.81.10.10.0
1999 POST119.024.022.022.00.00.00.00.06.00.00.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

6 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Shane Steichen
2025Shane Steichen
2024Shane Steichen
2023Shane Steichen
2022Frank Reich
2021Frank Reich
2020Frank Reich
2019Frank Reich
2018Frank Reich
2017Chuck Pagano
2016Chuck Pagano
2015Chuck Pagano
2014Chuck Pagano
2013Chuck Pagano
2012Chuck Pagano
2011Jim Caldwell
2010Jim Caldwell
2009Jim Caldwell
2008Tony Dungy
2007Tony Dungy
2006Tony Dungy
2005Tony Dungy
2004Tony Dungy
2003Tony Dungy
2002Tony Dungy
2001Jim Mora
2000Jim Mora
1999Jim Mora

In the news

482 scheduled · 472 played · 49 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 7, 2026Generated Tue, Oct 27, 9:27 AM ET